Frosinone – Sassuolo: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Italy · Matchday 7

FrosinoneSerie A · #6

4-2Friday, October 16

SassuoloSerie A · #15

Match events

FrosinoneSassuolo

9'⚽Giacomo Calò
15'⚽Domenico BerardiAssist: Darryl Bakola
17'VARGiorgi KvernadzeGoal cancelled
26'⚽Antonio Raimondo
30'⚽Antonio Raimondo
37'⚽Kristian Thorstvedt
57'⚽Antonio Raimondo

Chances to win

Frosinone%38

Draw%25

Sassuolo%36

At a glance

Over 1.5

%65Over 2.5

%68Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%65Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%68

Frosinone win%38

Sassuolo win%36

Under 2.5%35

Not both score%32

Draw%25

Why?

Frosinone: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

FrosinoneL0-3W2-0D1-1W3-2D1-1

SassuoloD1-1L1-2W3-2D2-2D1-1

Last 5 meetings

2Frosinone won

1Draw

2Sassuolo won

2.6
Goals per game2/5
Over 2.53/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Frosinone · last 10 at home6/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 6 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Sassuolo · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Frosinone · last 10 at home6.7 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

Sassuolo · last 10 away4.5 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

M. Pisseri, S. Desplanches, G. Calvani, W. Amey, K. Akpoguma, A. Terzić, Omar Fayed, E. Tchato, Matteo Cichella, A. El Azzouzi, L. Hasa, D. Bîrligea, A. Zerbin, S. Fini, T. Bobček

Sassuolo · 4-3-3

49A. Murić

3J. Doig

15D. Ćaleta-Car

20I. Van der Brempt

26C. Odenthal

18N. Matić

42K. Thorstvedt

50D. Bakola

10D. Berardi

45A. Laurienté

94S. Esposito

Bench

G. Satalino, S. Turati, Fali Candé, S. Walukiewicz, Rafael Obrador, E. Pieragnolo, C. Volpato, A. Ghion, Vasilije Adžić, L. Lipani, S. Cinquegrano, I. Sulemana, K. Bowie, L. Skjellerup, B. Domínguez

Frosinone – SassuoloSeptember 17, 2023 · Serie A4-2

Kieron BowieOff: Kristian Thorstvedt

67'⇄Benjamin DominguezOff: Sebastiano Esposito

68'⇄Luca LipaniOff: Nemanja Matić

68'⇄Rafael ObradorOff: Josh Doig

74'⇄Alessio ZerbinOff: Giorgi Kvernadze

74'⇄Omar Fayed Abdelwahab El RakhawyOff: Ilario Monterisi

80'⇄Matteo CichellaOff: Giacomo Calò

80'⇄Wisdom AmeyOff: Anthony Oyono

83'⇄Cristian VolpatoOff: Armand Lauriente

90'⇄Daniel BirligeaOff: Antonio Raimondo

Statistics

42%Possession58%

2.12Expected goals1.94

21Total shots14

10Shots on target6

5Corners4

13Fouls10

3Offsides3

0Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

4Saves6

Sassuolo: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Frosinone scored 2.5 and conceded 0.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Sassuolo scored 1.0 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Frosinone · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Sassuolo · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Frosinone: 10 games · Sassuolo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.9Goals scored (avg)0.9

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.8

3.7Total goals per gameleague 3.22.7

10/10Over 0.5league %989/10

9/10Over 1.5league %868/10

6/10Over 2.5league %606/10

5/10Over 3.5league %342/10

5/10Over 4.5league %211/10

5/10Both scoreleague %587/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

Frosinone: 10 games · Sassuolo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.3Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.5Goals conceded (avg)2.3

3.8Total goals per gameleague 3.23.8

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8610/10

6/10Over 2.5league %607/10

4/10Over 3.5league %344/10

4/10Over 4.5league %213/10

6/10Both scoreleague %589/10

2/10Clean sheets0/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%43 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Frosinone win 432, 205 end level and Sassuolo win 363. The actual result comes up 432 times in 1000.

2.12 – 1.94 The score the chances deserved (xG): Frosinone 2.12 – 1.94 Sassuolo.

9.3

Man of the match: A. Raimondo (Frosinone), rated 9.3.

%38 Our model's pre-match chance of a Frosinone win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Frosinone · Serie A

Sassuolo · Serie A

Frosinone · All games

Sassuolo · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Frosinone's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match