Napoli – Frosinone: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Italy · Matchday 6

NapoliSerie A · #7

3-0Saturday, October 10

FrosinoneSerie A · #6

Match events

NapoliFrosinone

28'VARRasmus Hojlund
29'⚽Kevin De BruynePenalty
32'⚽Noa Lang
45'⇄Aleksa TerzićOff: Patrizio Masini
61'⇄Lorenzo LuccaOff: Rasmus Hojlund
61'⇄Scott McTominayOff: David Neres
63'

Chances to win

Napoli%62

Draw%21

Frosinone%17

At a glance

Over 1.5

%63Over 2.5

%60Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Napoli win%62

Both score%60

Not both score%40

Under 2.5%37

Draw%21

Frosinone win%17

Why?

Napoli: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

NapoliD1-1W1-0L0-1L2-3L1-2

FrosinoneW2-0D1-1W3-2D1-1W3-0

Last 3 meetings

1Napoli won

1Draw

1Frosinone won

4.0
Goals per game3/3
Over 2.52/3
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Napoli · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Frosinone · last 10 away4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Napoli · last 10 at home6.3 corners, 0.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Frosinone · last 10 away6.6 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners10/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

N. Contini, V. Milinković-Savić, S. Beukema, Luca Marianucci, B. Gilmour, S. McTominay, L. Lucca, M. Politano, Giovane

Frosinone · 4-3-3

22L. Palmisani

2G. Cittadini

3G. Calvani

20A. Oyono

79G. Bracaglia

10R. Schmid

14G. Calò

73P. Masini

7F. Ghedjemis

9A. Raimondo

17G. Kvernadze

Bench

M. Pisseri, S. Desplanches, W. Amey, I. Monterisi, A. Terzić, Omar Fayed, E. Tchato, Matteo Cichella, L. Hasa, S. Fini, T. Bobček

Seydou FiniOff: Farès Ghedjemis

63'⇄Tomas BobcekOff: Antonio Raimondo

71'⇄Billy GilmourOff: Stanislav Lobotka

72'⇄Giovane Santana Do NascimentoOff: Noa Lang

76'⇄Matteo CichellaOff: Gabriele Bracaglia

81'⇄Matteo PolitanoOff: Leonardo Spinazzola

83'⇄Alessio ZerbinOff: Romano Schmid

85'Benoît Badiashile

90+4'⚽Kevin De BruyneAssist: Giovane Santana Do Nascimento

Statistics

51%Possession49%

2.8Expected goals1.03

19Total shots17

8Shots on target1

6Corners4

8Fouls12

1Offsides2

2Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

1Saves5

Frosinone: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Napoli scored 1.4 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Frosinone scored 2.0 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Napoli · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Frosinone · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Napoli: 10 games · Frosinone: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.3Total goals per gameleague 3.23.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

7/10Over 1.5league %869/10

6/10Over 2.5league %607/10

4/10Over 3.5league %344/10

3/10Over 4.5league %211/10

4/10Both scoreleague %587/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

Napoli: 10 games · Frosinone: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)2.3

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.23.8

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

7/10Over 1.5league %869/10

6/10Over 2.5league %606/10

5/10Over 3.5league %344/10

4/10Over 4.5league %214/10

6/10Both scoreleague %586/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%74 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Napoli win 741, 147 end level and Frosinone win 112. The actual result comes up 741 times in 1000.

2.80 – 1.03 The score the chances deserved (xG): Napoli 2.80 – 1.03 Frosinone.

8 – 1 Shots on target: Napoli 8 – 1 Frosinone.

8.2

Man of the match: K. De Bruyne (Napoli), rated 8.2.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 3 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Napoli · Serie A

Frosinone · Serie A

Napoli · All games

Frosinone · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Napoli's ground

Last 3 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match