Sarpsborg 08 FF – Aalesund: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eliteserien · Norway · Matchday 12

Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien · #7

2-1Sunday, October 25

AalesundEliteserien · #14

Match events

Sarpsborg 08 FFAalesund

13'Sigurd Rosted
19'⚽Mathias ChristensenAssist: Sander Erik Kartum
35'Ólafur Gudmundsson
40'⇄Emil EngqvistOff: Stefano Vecchia
45'⇄Paul NgongoOff: Isak Gabriel Skotheim
45'⇄Anders HiimOff: Peter Reinhardsen

Chances to win

Sarpsborg 08 FF%52

Draw%23

Aalesund%26

At a glance

Over 1.5

%69Over 2.5

%68Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Sarpsborg 08 FFL0-3W4-2W2-0L1-3D1-1

AalesundW4-1L2-4W2-1D2-2L

Last 11 meetings

8Sarpsborg 08 FF won

1Draw

2Aalesund won

3.4
Goals per game8/11
Over 2.57/11
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Sarpsborg 08 FF · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Aalesund · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Sarpsborg 08 FF · last 10 at home6.3 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Aalesund · last 8 away5.1 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/8Over 4.5 corners4/8Over 5.5 corners4/8Over 0.5 cards7/8Over 1.5 cards6/8

Bench

J. Pryts, M. Lode, L. Høyland, C. Niyukuri, A. Hiim, A. Sher, Camil Mmaee Nwameben, Bop Gueye, A. Nibe

Aalesund · 5-3-2

1Luca Podlech

2M. Andresen

3Ó. Guðmundsson

7K. Nessø

14U. Charles

28D. Mbacke

18E. Hagen

19S. Kartum

21M. Christensen

8I. Skotheim

23S. Vecchia

Bench

T. Larsen, A. Hammer Kjelsen, J. Ørsahl, E. Engqvist, E. Osenbroch, T. Leikanger, P. Ngongo, E. Myrlid

Sarpsborg 08 FF – AalesundMay 22, 2022 · Eliteserien1-2

Aalesund – Sarpsborg 08 FFSeptember 13, 2020 · Eliteserien0-1

Sarpsborg 08 FF – AalesundAugust 2, 2020 · Eliteserien4-0

Sarpsborg 08 FF – AalesundNovember 19, 2017 · Eliteserien1-0

Aalesund – Sarpsborg 08 FFApril 5, 2017 · Eliteserien1-3

Aalesund – Sarpsborg 08 FFAugust 26, 2016 · Eliteserien2-2

Sarpsborg 08 FF – AalesundMay 12, 2016 · Eliteserien1-0

Bop GuèyeOff: Noa Williams

62'⇄Marius LodeOff: Bjorn Utvik

62'⇄Aimar SherOff: Sander Johan Christiansen

79'⇄Camil Mmaee NwamebenOff: Eirik Wichne

80'Daniel Seland Karlsbakk

84'⇄Aleksander Hammer KjelsenOff: Marius Andresen

85'⚽Camil Mmaee NwamebenAssist: Daniel Seland Karlsbakk

Statistics

72%Possession28%

2.29Expected goals0.32

33Total shots7

5Shots on target2

20Corners4

11Fouls8

1Offsides3

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards1

0Saves2

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%69Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%68

Sarpsborg 08 FF win%52

Not both score%32

Under 2.5%31

Aalesund win%26

Draw%23

Why?

Sarpsborg 08 FF · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Aalesund · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Sarpsborg 08 FF: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Aalesund: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.
Sarpsborg 08 FF scored 1.1 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Aalesund scored 2.9 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Sarpsborg 08 FF: 10 games · Aalesund: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)2.8

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.24.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

8/10Over 1.5league %8710/10

8/10Over 2.5league %638/10

3/10Over 3.5league %374/10

1/10Over 4.5league %223/10

7/10Both scoreleague %608/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score0/10

Sarpsborg 08 FF: 10 games · Aalesund: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)2.0

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.8

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.23.8

9/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8710/10

6/10Over 2.5league %638/10

4/10Over 3.5league %374/10

2/10Over 4.5league %223/10

6/10Both scoreleague %608/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

90+4'

Anders Hiim decided it in minute 90.

%82 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Sarpsborg 08 FF win 823, 138 end level and Aalesund win 39. The actual result comes up 823 times in 1000.

2.29 – 0.32 The score the chances deserved (xG): Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.29 – 0.32 Aalesund.

33 – 7 Shots: Sarpsborg 08 FF 33 – 7 Aalesund.

4 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 11 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Sarpsborg 08 FF's ground

Last 11 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Sarpsborg 08 FF · Eliteserien

Aalesund · Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 FF · All games

Aalesund · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match