Sarpsborg 08 FF – Rosenborg: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eliteserien · Norway · Matchday 24

Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien · #7

0-3Sunday, October 18

RosenborgEliteserien · #4

Match events

Sarpsborg 08 FFRosenborg

29'⚽A. F. Witry
34'Mathias Kjølø
36'⚽A. PereiraAssist: A. F. Witry
43'Sander Christiansen
46'⇄A. HiimOff: A. Nibe
46'⇄A. SherOff: P. Reinhardsen
57'

Chances to win

Sarpsborg 08 FF%41

Draw%25

Rosenborg%34

At a glance

Over 1.5

%63Over 2.5

%65Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Sarpsborg 08 FFW4-2W2-0L1-3D1-1D2-2

RosenborgD1-1W3-1W4-1W5-3W

Last 9 meetings

5Sarpsborg 08 FF won

3Draw

1Rosenborg won

4.0
Goals per game7/9
Over 2.58/9
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Sarpsborg 08 FF · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Rosenborg · last 10 away5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Sarpsborg 08 FF · last 10 at home6.3 corners, 1.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Rosenborg · last 8 away5.6 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/8Over 4.5 corners4/8Over 5.5 corners4/8Over 0.5 cards6/8Over 1.5 cards4/8

Bench

J. Pryts, M. Lode, L. Høyland, C. Niyukuri, A. Hiim, M. M. Eidal, A. Sher, Camil Mmaee Nwameben, V. Halvorsen

Rosenborg · 4-4-2

1L. Wahlstedt

4M. Ceïde

16A. Witry

19A. Pereira

23M. Mampassi

6M. Kjølø

11N. Sahsah

17M. Bomholt

22J. Svensson

30M. Soboczynski

35E. Ceïde

Bench

R. Sandberg, T. Solheim, J. Mortensen, I. Fossum, J. Bárðarson, D. Islamović, J. Reitan-Sunde

Sarpsborg 08 FF – RosenborgJuly 12, 2024 · Eliteserien4-1

Sarpsborg 08 FF – RosenborgOctober 8, 2023 · Eliteserien5-2

Rosenborg – Sarpsborg 08 FFJune 25, 2023 · Eliteserien0-3

Rosenborg – Sarpsborg 08 FFNovember 13, 2022 · Eliteserien2-3

Sarpsborg 08 FF – RosenborgApril 18, 2022 · Eliteserien1-1

60'⇄C. NiyukuriOff: E. Wichne

61'⇄J. Reitan-SundeOff: N. Sahsah

61'⇄D. IslamovicOff: M. Soboczynski

68'⇄V. E. HalvorsenOff: S. Christiansen

70'⇄T. DahlOff: A. Pereira

70'⇄I. FossumOff: M. Kjolo

82'⇄Camil MmaeeOff: N. Williams

Statistics

51%Possession49%

0.91Expected goals1.85

14Total shots20

5Shots on target6

7Corners8

15Fouls17

2Offsides2

2Yellow cards3

2Saves4

76%Pass accuracy76%

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%65

Sarpsborg 08 FF win%41

Under 2.5%37

Not both score%35

Rosenborg win%34

Draw%25

Why?

Sarpsborg 08 FF · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Rosenborg · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Sarpsborg 08 FF: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.
Rosenborg: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.
Sarpsborg 08 FF scored 1.2 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Rosenborg scored 2.5 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Sarpsborg 08 FF: 10 games · Rosenborg: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)3.4

1.5Goals conceded (avg)0.9

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.24.3

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

8/10Over 1.5league %8710/10

8/10Over 2.5league %639/10

3/10Over 3.5league %375/10

1/10Over 4.5league %224/10

7/10Both scoreleague %604/10

2/10Clean sheets6/10

1/10Failed to score0/10

Sarpsborg 08 FF: 10 games · Rosenborg: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)2.9

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.2

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.24.1

9/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8710/10

6/10Over 2.5league %639/10

4/10Over 3.5league %375/10

2/10Over 4.5league %223/10

6/10Both scoreleague %606/10

3/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

0.97 – 1.90 The score the chances deserved (xG): Sarpsborg 08 FF 0.97 – 1.90 Rosenborg.

%34 Our model's pre-match chance of an Rosenborg win.

%59 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Sarpsborg 08 FF win 188, 220 end level and Rosenborg win 591. The actual result comes up 591 times in 1000.

8.4

Man of the match: A. Witry (Rosenborg), rated 8.4.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 9 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Sarpsborg 08 FF's ground

Last 9 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Sarpsborg 08 FF · Eliteserien

Rosenborg · Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 FF · All games

Rosenborg · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match