Orgryte IS – Mjallby AIF: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Allsvenskan · Sweden · Matchday 26

Orgryte ISAllsvenskan · #15

1-2Thursday, October 29

Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan · #12

Match events

Orgryte ISMjallby AIF

5'⚽Jacob BergstromAssist: Jeppe Kjaer Jensen
18'⚽Mikael DyrestamAssist: Adam Andersson
23'Benjamin laturnus
45+3'Jesper Gustavsson
49'⚽Tony MiettinenAssist: Jeppe Kjaer Jensen
56'⇄william hofvanderOff: Charlie Vindehall

Chances to win

Orgryte IS%30

Draw%26

Mjallby AIF%43

At a glance

Over 1.5

%54Over 2.5

%58Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%54

Under 2.5%46

Mjallby AIF win%43

Not both score%42

Orgryte IS win%30

Draw%26

Why?

Orgryte IS: both sides scored in 9 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Orgryte ISD2-2W4-2L0-3L1-2L1-4

Mjallby AIFL0-2D1-1L0-1W2-0D1-1

Last 4 meetings

1Orgryte IS won

1Draw

2Mjallby AIF won

2.5
Goals per game2/4
Over 2.52/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Orgryte IS · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Mjallby AIF · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Orgryte IS · last 10 at home3.9 corners, 1.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners

Mjallby AIF · last 8 away4.0 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/8Over 4.5 corners4/8Over 5.5 corners2/8Over 0.5 cards8/8Over 1.5 cards6/8

Bench

A. Rahm, J. Azulay, A. Andreasson, Marlon Ebietomere, D. Paulson, W. Kenndal, L. Andersson, D. Obou, W. Hofvander

Mjallby AIF · 4-4-2

35A. Lundin

4A. Norén

5Abdullah Iqbal

24T. Pettersson

33T. Miettinen

7V. Gustafson

14Villiam Granath

22J. Gustavsson

25M. Nielsen

10J. Kjær

18J. Bergström

Bench

S. Hansen, L. Svanberg, I. Hoffmann, M. Enggård, L. Tidstrand, Olle Lindberg, R. Leandersson, A. Youssef, Á. Samuelsen

Daniel PaulsonOff: michael parker

72'⇄Áki SamuelsenOff: Jeppe Kjaer Jensen

72'⇄Anton AndreassonOff: Johan Hammar

72'⇄Liam Filip AnderssonOff: Benjamin laturnus

78'⇄David obouOff: Viktor Ekblom

85'⇄Ludvig TidstrandOff: Max Nielsen

85'⇄Ian HoffmannOff: William Granath

Statistics

44%Possession56%

0.74Expected goals1.75

12Total shots13

3Shots on target5

3Corners3

9Fouls10

1Offsides0

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

3Saves2

Mjallby AIF: both sides scored in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Orgryte IS scored 1.9 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Mjallby AIF scored 0.4 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Orgryte IS · last 10 at home: both scored 9 times9/10

Orgryte IS: 10 games · Mjallby AIF: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)0.5

2.0Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.9Total goals per gameleague 2.92.0

9/10Over 0.5league %969/10

9/10Over 1.5league %807/10

7/10Over 2.5league %533/10

5/10Over 3.5league %301/10

4/10Over 4.5league %160/10

9/10Both scoreleague %514/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score6/10

Orgryte IS: 10 games · Mjallby AIF: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.2

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.92.0

10/10Over 0.5league %9610/10

9/10Over 1.5league %808/10

6/10Over 2.5league %532/10

3/10Over 3.5league %300/10

2/10Over 4.5league %160/10

8/10Both scoreleague %515/10

0/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%62 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Orgryte IS win 154, 230 end level and Mjallby AIF win 615. The actual result comes up 615 times in 1000.

7.8

Man of the match: M. Dyrestam (Orgryte IS), rated 7.8.

0.74 – 1.75 The score the chances deserved (xG): Orgryte IS 0.74 – 1.75 Mjallby AIF.

%43 Our model's pre-match chance of an Mjallby AIF win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Orgryte IS · Allsvenskan

Mjallby AIF · Allsvenskan

Orgryte IS · All games

Mjallby AIF · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Orgryte IS's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match