Orgryte IS – Gais: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Allsvenskan · Sweden · Matchday 24

Orgryte ISAllsvenskan · #15

4-2Sunday, October 18

GaisAllsvenskan · #10

Match events

Orgryte ISGais

21'⚽Liam Filip AnderssonAssist: Benjamin laturnus
41'⚽Anes CardaklijaAssist: Robin Wendin Thomasson
44'Robin Frej
45'⇄Melvin AnderssonOff: Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic
48'⚽Robin Wendin Thomasson
60'⚽Tobias SanaPenalty

Chances to win

Orgryte IS%18

Draw%23

Gais%59

At a glance

Over 1.5

%56Over 2.5

%55Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Gais win.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%56

Both score%55

Not both score%45

Under 2.5%44

Draw%23

Orgryte IS win%18

Why?

Gais won 4 of their last 10 away matches.
Orgryte IS scored 1.6 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Orgryte ISL0-3L1-2L1-4D1-1L0-1

GaisL0-1W3-0L0-2D0-0W4-0

Last 1 meetings

0Orgryte IS won

0Draw

1Gais won

4.0
Goals per game1/1
Over 2.50/1
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Orgryte IS · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Gais · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Orgryte IS · last 10 at home3.8 corners, 1.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners

Gais · last 9 away3.7 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners2/9Over 0.5 cards9/9Over 1.5 cards7/9

Bench

A. Rahm, J. Azulay, A. Andersson, A. Andreasson, J. Hammar, Marlon Ebietomere, W. Kenndal, W. Hofvander, Viktor Ekblom

Gais · 4-3-3

1M. Krasniqi

4O. Ågren

5R. Thomasson

12R. Frej

22A. Cardaklija

7J. Åberg

14S. Jørgensen

31C. Gravius

11R. Niklasson

20S. Salter

32O. Pettersson

Bench

A. Hermansen, M. de Brienne, A. Wängberg, F. Beckman, H. Sletsjøe, M. Andersson, Jonas Lindberg, M. Bawa, N. Vasić

Matteo de BrienneOff: Robin Wendin Thomasson

61'⇄Henry SletsjoeOff: Christos Gravius

68'⇄Nikola·VasicOff: Samuel Salter

70'⇄Viktor EkblomOff: Liam Filip Andersson

70'⚽Viktor EkblomAssist: michael parker

74'⚽Viktor EkblomAssist: Owen Parker-Price

75'⇄Jonas LindbergOff: Oscar Pettersson

77'⇄Adam AnderssonOff: michael parker

77'⇄Anton AndreassonOff: Charlie Vindehall

87'⇄William KenndalOff: Daniel Paulson

89'⇄Johan HammarOff: Tobias Sana

Statistics

31%Possession69%

2.79Expected goals1.42

15Total shots18

6Shots on target4

3Corners6

12Fouls9

0Offsides2

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

2Saves2

Gais scored 1.5 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Orgryte IS: 10 games · Gais: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)1.6

2.0Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.9Total goals per gameleague 2.93.3

9/10Over 0.5league %9610/10

9/10Over 1.5league %809/10

7/10Over 2.5league %534/10

5/10Over 3.5league %303/10

4/10Over 4.5league %163/10

9/10Both scoreleague %512/10

1/10Clean sheets4/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

Orgryte IS: 10 games · Gais: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.0

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.92.8

10/10Over 0.5league %969/10

9/10Over 1.5league %807/10

6/10Over 2.5league %534/10

3/10Over 3.5league %303/10

2/10Over 4.5league %162/10

8/10Both scoreleague %512/10

0/10Clean sheets5/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Orgryte IS: a 8-match wait for a win is over.

%18 Our model's pre-match chance of a Orgryte IS win.

31 – 69 Possession (%): Orgryte IS 31 – 69 Gais.

%67 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Orgryte IS win 665, 164 end level and Gais win 171. The actual result comes up 665 times in 1000.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 1 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Orgryte IS · Allsvenskan

Gais · Allsvenskan

Orgryte IS · All games

Gais · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 1 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match