Remo – RB Bragantino: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Brazil · Matchday 31

RemoSerie A · #19

1-1Monday, October 19

RB BragantinoSerie A · #9

Match events

RemoRB Bragantino

10'⚽Lucas Henrique Barbosa
36'VARFernando dos Santos PedroGoal cancelled
45'⇄Jandir Breno Souza SilvaOff: David Francisco·Trindade Braga
45'⇄Eduardo MeloOff: José Welison
45'⇄Alix ViniciusOff: Gustavo Marques Alves dos Santos
48'Zé Ivaldo

Chances to win

Remo%30

Draw%26

RB Bragantino%44

At a glance

Over 1.5

%54Over 2.5

%58Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%54

Under 2.5%46

RB Bragantino win%44

Not both score%42

Remo win%30

Draw%26

Why?

Remo: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

RemoD0-0D1-1L1-2L1-2L0-1

RB BragantinoW4-2D1-1L0-1L1-2D1-1

Last 1 meetings

0Remo won

0Draw

1RB Bragantino won

6.0
Goals per game1/1
Over 2.51/1
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Remo · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

RB Bragantino · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Remo · last 9 at home5.8 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners6/9Over 5.5 corners4/9Over 0.5 cards

RB Bragantino · last 10 away5.7 corners, 2.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

Ygor Vinhas, Matheus Alexandre, Leo Andrade, Jája Silva, L. Picco, Yago Pikachu, Edson Fernando, Gabriel Poveda, Vitor Bueno, Eduardo Melo

RB Bragantino · 4-2-3-1

18Tiago Volpi

2Guzmán Rodríguez

16Gustavo Marques

29Juninho Capixaba

52Ryan Tavares

5Fabinho

7Eric Ramires

11Fernando

21Lucas Barbosa

47Wallace

8Eduardo Sasha

Bench

Cleiton, Eduardo Santos, Alix, Vanderlan, A. Sant'Anna, Gabriel, I. Sosa, Patrick Silva, Matheus Fernandes, I. Pitta, Vinicius, J. Herrera

Jandir Breno Souza SilvaAssist: Gabriel Taliari

65'⇄Matheus FernandesOff: Eduardo Sasha

68'⇄Glaybson Yago Souza LisboaOff: Antonio Galeano

68'⇄Leonel PiccoOff: Patrick Bezerra do Nascimento

72'⇄Jose HerreraOff: Wallace Yan

81'⇄Vitor BuenoOff: Ze Ricardo

86'⇄Gabriel GirottoOff: Fábio Silva de Freitas

86'⇄Patrick Roberto da Silva CamposOff: Eric Ramires

Statistics

54%Possession46%

1.5Expected goals2.44

25Total shots16

6Shots on target5

14Corners3

9Fouls15

4Offsides1

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

4Saves4

RB Bragantino: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Remo scored 1.2 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

RB Bragantino scored 1.1 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Remo · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

RB Bragantino · last 10 away: both scored 7 times7/10

Remo: 10 games · RB Bragantino: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.72.1

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

7/10Over 1.5league %788/10

4/10Over 2.5league %513/10

2/10Over 3.5league %251/10

1/10Over 4.5league %130/10

6/10Both scoreleague %597/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

Remo: 10 games · RB Bragantino: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.72.9

9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

7/10Over 1.5league %789/10

5/10Over 2.5league %515/10

1/10Over 3.5league %252/10

1/10Over 4.5league %132/10

7/10Both scoreleague %597/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%18 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Remo win 223, 184 end level and RB Bragantino win 593. The actual result comes up 184 times in 1000.

%26 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.54 – 2.54 The score the chances deserved (xG): Remo 1.54 – 2.54 RB Bragantino.

14 – 3 Corners: Remo 14 – 3 RB Bragantino.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 1 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Remo · Serie A

RB Bragantino · Serie A

Remo · All games

RB Bragantino · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 1 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match