RB Bragantino – Cruzeiro: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Brazil · Matchday 30

RB BragantinoSerie A · #9

4-2Tuesday, October 13

CruzeiroSerie A · #3

Match events

RB BragantinoCruzeiro

10'Guzman Rodriguez
13'⚽Lucas Henrique BarbosaAssist: Eric Ramires
18'William
20'⚽Kaio JorgeOwn goal
28'Ryan Augusto
30'⚽Eric Ramires
43'⚽

Chances to win

RB Bragantino%45

Draw%26

Cruzeiro%29

At a glance

Over 1.5

%56Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%56

RB Bragantino win%45

Under 2.5%44

Not both score%41

Cruzeiro win%29

Draw%26

Why?

RB Bragantino: both sides scored in 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

RB BragantinoD1-1L0-1L1-2D1-1L2-3

CruzeiroW2-0W3-1L1-2W3-1L1-2

Last 7 meetings

1RB Bragantino won

2Draw

4Cruzeiro won

2.1
Goals per game4/7
Over 2.54/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

RB Bragantino · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Cruzeiro · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

RB Bragantino · last 10 at home7.5 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners8/10Over 0.5 cards

Cruzeiro · last 10 away4.0 corners, 2.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

Cleiton, Eduardo Santos, Vanderlan, A. Sant'Anna, Gabriel, I. Sosa, Gustavinho, Matheus Fernandes, I. Pitta, Vinicius, Bruninho, J. Herrera

Cruzeiro · 4-2-3-1

81Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa

12William

27G. Rojas

34Jonathan

43João Marcelo

5Zé Lucas

8Gerson

10Matheus Pereira

38Felipe Morais

99K. Arroyo

19Kaio Jorge

Bench

Cássio, Kauã Moraes, M. Viña, Fabrício Bruno, L. Villalba, Matheus Henrique, Lucas Silva, Bruno Rodrigues, Marquinhos, Wesley Gassova, Kenji, L. Rodríguez

Cruzeiro – RB BragantinoJuly 13, 2024 · Serie A2-1

Cruzeiro – RB BragantinoSeptember 4, 2023 · Serie A0-0

RB Bragantino – CruzeiroApril 30, 2023 · Serie A0-3

45'⇄Fabrício BrunoOff: William

45'⇄Matías ViñaOff: Gabriel Rojas

58'⇄Eduardo SantosOff: Gustavo Marques Alves dos Santos

63'⇄Wesley Gassova Ribeiro TeixeiraOff: João Marcelo

63'⇄Matheus HenriqueOff: Zé Lucas

65'⇄Matheus FernandesOff: Wallace Yan

66'⇄Isidro PittaOff: Eduardo Sasha

66'⇄Gabriel GirottoOff: Eric Ramires

78'⇄Bruno RodriguesOff: Felipe Morais

81'⇄Jose HerreraOff: Lucas Henrique Barbosa

88'VARFernando dos Santos PedroGoal cancelled

89'⚽Matheus Henrique

90+1'⚽Jose HerreraAssist: Isidro Pitta

Statistics

31%Possession69%

2.68Expected goals2.8

20Total shots25

10Shots on target13

7Corners6

12Fouls12

1Offsides5

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

11Saves7

Cruzeiro: both sides scored in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

RB Bragantino scored 1.2 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Cruzeiro scored 1.3 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Cruzeiro · last 10 away: both scored 8 times8/10

RB Bragantino: 10 games · Cruzeiro: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.73.3

9/10Over 0.5league %959/10

6/10Over 1.5league %788/10

4/10Over 2.5league %518/10

3/10Over 3.5league %254/10

2/10Over 4.5league %132/10

4/10Both scoreleague %598/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

RB Bragantino: 10 games · Cruzeiro: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.9Total goals per gameleague 2.73.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

9/10Over 1.5league %788/10

5/10Over 2.5league %517/10

2/10Over 3.5league %255/10

2/10Over 4.5league %132/10

7/10Both scoreleague %597/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

RB Bragantino: a 6-match wait for a win is over.

%39 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), RB Bragantino win 393, 175 end level and Cruzeiro win 433. The actual result comes up 393 times in 1000.

2.68 – 2.80 The score the chances deserved (xG): RB Bragantino 2.68 – 2.80 Cruzeiro.

31 – 69 Possession (%): RB Bragantino 31 – 69 Cruzeiro.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

RB Bragantino · Serie A

Cruzeiro · Serie A

RB Bragantino · All games

Cruzeiro · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at RB Bragantino's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match