Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Brazil · Matchday 29

CruzeiroSerie A · #3

2-0Thursday, October 8

Sao PauloSerie A · #10

Match events

CruzeiroSao Paulo

21'Wendell
24'Gabriel Rojas
44'⚽Kaio JorgeAssist: Matheus Pereira
45'⇄Zé LucasOff: Lucas Romer
45'⇄Aldemir FerreiraOff: Jose Monteiro
57'⚽Zé Lucas
58'

Chances to win

Cruzeiro%53

Draw%26

Sao Paulo%21

At a glance

Over 1.5

%49Over 2.5

%50Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Cruzeiro win.

%53Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Under 2.5%51

Both score%50

Not both score%50

Over 2.5%49

Draw%26

Sao Paulo win%21

Why?

Cruzeiro won 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CruzeiroW3-1L1-2W3-1L1-2L1-3

Sao PauloL1-2W1-0D1-1L0-2L0-1

Last 7 meetings

2Cruzeiro won

1Draw

4Sao Paulo won

1.9
Goals per game1/7
Over 2.52/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Cruzeiro · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Sao Paulo · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Cruzeiro · last 10 at home6.1 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Sao Paulo · last 9 away4.8 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/9Over 4.5 corners5/9Over 5.5 corners4/9Over 0.5 cards9/9Over 1.5 cards7/9

No games this season · Inactive

Starting line-ups

Cruzeiro · 4-2-3-1

81Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa

12William

27G. Rojas

34Jonathan

43João Marcelo

8Gerson

9Bruno Rodrigues

10Matheus Pereira

29L. Romero

38Felipe Morais

19Kaio Jorge

Bench

Cássio, Kauã Moraes, M. Viña, Fágner, Zé Lucas, Matheus Henrique, Lucas Silva, Marquinhos, Wesley Gassova, L. Rodríguez, K. Arroyo

Sao Paulo · 4-2-3-1

31Carlos Coronel

2R. Tolói

5R. Arboleda

18Wendell

35Sabino

8Marcos Antônio

16D. Bobadilla

29Pablo Maia

32Pedro Lima

37Artur

9J. Calleri

Bench

Lucas Ramon, Osorio Luis, Newton, Pedro Ferreira, D. Ferreira, Ferreira, André Silva, Victor Sá, G. Santana, Ryan Francisco

Sao Paulo – CruzeiroJune 3, 2024 · Serie A2-0

Sao Paulo – CruzeiroNovember 3, 2023 · Serie A1-0

Cruzeiro – Sao PauloJune 25, 2023 · Serie A1-0

Matías ViñaOff: Gabriel Rojas

63'⇄Victor SáOff: Aldemir Ferreira

64'⇄Pedro FerreiraOff: Pablo Maia

64'⇄NewtonOff: Marcos Antonio

68'⇄Keny arroyoOff: Bruno Rodrigues

78'⇄Djhordney FerreiraOff: Damian Bobadilla

85'⇄Matheus HenriqueOff: Kaio Jorge

85'⇄Luciano RodríguezOff: Gerson

Statistics

54%Possession46%

22Total shots19

9Shots on target3

8Corners8

12Fouls20

1Offsides2

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

3Saves7

Cruzeiro scored 1.9 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Sao Paulo scored 0.7 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Cruzeiro · last 10 at home: 6 wins6/10

Sao Paulo · last 10 away: 8 defeats8/10

Cruzeiro: 10 games · Sao Paulo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)0.6

0.7Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.72.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %787/10

3/10Over 2.5league %512/10

2/10Over 3.5league %251/10

0/10Over 4.5league %131/10

6/10Both scoreleague %595/10

3/10Clean sheets0/10

1/10Failed to score5/10

Cruzeiro: 10 games · Sao Paulo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.4Total goals per gameleague 2.72.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %787/10

7/10Over 2.5league %513/10

5/10Over 3.5league %251/10

2/10Over 4.5league %131/10

7/10Both scoreleague %595/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score3/10

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Cruzeiro · Serie A

Sao Paulo · Serie A

Cruzeiro · All games

Sao Paulo · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Cruzeiro's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Starting line-ups

Statistics

Goals

Goals