Sao Paulo – Santos: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Brazil · Matchday 21

Sao PauloSerie A · #10

1-2Saturday, October 3

SantosSerie A · #8

Match events

Sao PauloSantos

31'VARRyan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos SilvaPenalty confirmed
33'Lucas Veríssimo
34'⚽LucianoPenalty
36'⚽Gabriel BarbosaAssist: Gonzalo Escobar
41'Luciano
45'Christian Oliva

Chances to win

Sao Paulo%48

Draw%28

Santos%25

At a glance

Over 1.5

%46Over 2.5

%51Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Sao PauloW1-0D1-1L0-2L0-1W2-0

SantosW2-1L2-4W2-1W2-0W

Last 9 meetings

4Sao Paulo won

2Draw

3Santos won

2.3
Goals per game4/9
Over 2.55/9
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Sao Paulo · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).8/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 8 games it led at half-time.

Santos · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Sao Paulo · last 10 at home6.7 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

Santos · last 10 away4.0 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards9/10

Gabriel Bontempo

This season 22 games · 1 goals · 2 assists · Yellow Cards

Vinicius Lira

No games this season · Knee Injury

Starting line-ups

Sao Paulo · 3-4-2-1

23Rafael

2R. Tolói

5R. Arboleda

12Iago

8Marcos Antônio

10Luciano

16D. Bobadilla

29Pablo Maia

32Pedro Lima

37Artur

49Ryan Francisco

Bench

Carlos Coronel, Wendell, Lucas Ramon, Sabino, Osorio Luis, Newton, Pedro Ferreira, Danielzinho, Ferreira, André Silva, Victor Sá, G. Santana

Santos · 4-2-3-1

1Diógenes

4Lucas Veríssimo

15Willian Arão

23Rodinei

31G. Escobar

6Arthur

7Everton

22Á. Barreal

28C. Oliva

32B. Rollheiser

9Gabriel Barbosa

Bench

João Paulo, Igor Vinicius, Rafael Gonzaga, João Schmidt, Philippe Coutinho, Thaciano, Gabriel Menino, Lima, Gustavo Henrique Pereira, S. Pierri, D. Fernandes, Rony

Santos – Sao PauloFebruary 2, 2025 · Paulista - A13-1

Santos – Sao PauloNovember 13, 2023 · Serie A0-0

Sao Paulo – SantosJuly 16, 2023 · Serie A4-1

Santos – Sao PauloAugust 22, 2022 · Serie A1-0

Sao Paulo – SantosMay 3, 2022 · Serie A2-1

Philippe CoutinhoOff: Álvaro Barreal

45'⇄Gustavo HenriqueOff: Vinicius Moreira de Lima

54'⇄Gabriel MeninoOff: Arthur Melo

54'⚽Gabriel BarbosaAssist: Everton

64'⇄Gustavo SantanaOff: Ryan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva

64'⇄DanielzinhoOff: Damian Bobadilla

64'⇄NewtonOff: Rafael Tolói

67'⇄WendellOff: Iago Amaral Borduchi

73'⇄Victor SáOff: Pedro Lima

76'⇄RonyOff: Everton

86'⇄ThacianoOff: Gabriel Barbosa

Statistics

60%Possession40%

20Total shots9

8Shots on target4

14Corners1

13Fouls10

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

2Saves7

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%51

Not both score%49

Sao Paulo win%48

Over 2.5%46

Draw%28

Santos win%25

Why?

Sao Paulo · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10

Sao Paulo: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
Santos: 2 or fewer goals in 3 of their last 10 away matches.
Sao Paulo scored 1.5 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Santos scored 1.7 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Sao Paulo: 10 games · Santos: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.6

0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.73.0

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

8/10Over 1.5league %788/10

5/10Over 2.5league %518/10

1/10Over 3.5league %252/10

0/10Over 4.5league %132/10

7/10Both scoreleague %596/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

Sao Paulo: 10 games · Santos: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.72.9

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

7/10Over 1.5league %789/10

3/10Over 2.5league %517/10

1/10Over 3.5league %252/10

1/10Over 4.5league %131/10

5/10Both scoreleague %598/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

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Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 9 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

This fixture at Sao Paulo's ground

Last 9 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Sao Paulo · Serie A

Santos · Serie A

Sao Paulo · All games

Santos · All games

Starting line-ups

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals