Portland Timbers – Charlotte: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 31

Portland TimbersWestern Conference · #11

3-2Sunday, October 25

CharlotteEastern Conference · #4

Match events

Portland TimbersCharlotte

3'⚽Pep BielAssist: Ashley Westwood
11'⚽Ariel LassiterAssist: Eric Izoita
17'Eric Izoita
40'⚽Ariel LassiterAssist: Eric Izoita
45'Nathan Byrne
62'⇄Luca De La TorreOff: Liel Abada
64'

Chances to win

Portland Timbers%47

Draw%23

Charlotte%30

At a glance

Over 1.5

%68Over 2.5

%68Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%68Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%68

Portland Timbers win%47

Under 2.5%32

Not both score%32

Charlotte win%30

Draw%23

Why?

Portland Timbers: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Portland TimbersD0-0L0-2D3-3L1-3L0-1

CharlotteD2-2L1-3W3-2L0-1W2-1

Last 2 meetings

0Portland Timbers won

0Draw

2Charlotte won

2.0
Goals per game0/2
Over 2.50/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Portland Timbers · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Charlotte · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Portland Timbers · last 10 at home5.3 corners, 1.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Charlotte · last 10 away3.8 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards7/10Over 1.5 cards3/10

Ian SmithOff: Jímer Fory

64'⇄Cole BassettOff: Eric Izoita

69'⚽Idan Toklomati JornoAssist: Luca De La Torre

70'⇄Harry ToffoloOff: David Schnegg

70'⇄Tyger SmallsOff: Rodolfo Aloko

83'⇄Alexander AravenaOff: Vincent Janssen

83'⇄Omir FernandezOff: Ariel Lassiter

85'⇄Baye CoulibalyOff: Ashley Westwood

90+6'⚽Alexander AravenaAssist: Cole Bassett

Statistics

56%Possession44%

3.38Expected goals0.86

27Total shots6

13Shots on target3

9Corners3

10Fouls9

3Offsides2

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

1Saves9

Charlotte: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Portland Timbers scored 2.3 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Charlotte scored 1.8 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Portland Timbers · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Charlotte · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Portland Timbers: 10 games · Charlotte: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.4Goals scored (avg)2.0

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.8

4.0Total goals per gameleague 3.23.8

9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %8310/10

8/10Over 2.5league %648/10

6/10Over 3.5league %415/10

3/10Over 4.5league %233/10

8/10Both scoreleague %648/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score0/10

Portland Timbers: 10 games · Charlotte: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)2.3

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.9Total goals per gameleague 3.23.9

9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %839/10

7/10Over 2.5league %649/10

6/10Over 3.5league %417/10

4/10Over 4.5league %233/10

7/10Both scoreleague %647/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Portland Timbers: a 7-match wait for a win is over.

90+6'

Alexander Aravena decided it in minute 90.

3.38 – 0.86 The score the chances deserved (xG): Portland Timbers 3.38 – 0.86 Charlotte.

%84 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Portland Timbers win 843, 99 end level and Charlotte win 59. The actual result comes up 843 times in 1000.

4 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer

Charlotte · Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers · All games

Charlotte · All games

Missing players

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match