Cerro – Central Espanol: probabilities, statistics and live score

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CerroPrimera: Tabla Anual · #13

1-2Saturday, October 31

Central EspanolPrimera: Tabla Anual · #10

Match events

CerroCentral Espanol

2'facundo sosa
24'⚽Fernando Camarda
41'Alejo Macelli
46'⇄Leonardo PaisOff: Agustin Miranda
46'⇄julian pouOff: Luciano Fernandez
53'⇄bruno moralesOff: Emiliano Rodriguez
53'

Chances to win

Cerro%40

Draw%30

Central Espanol%30

At a glance

Over 1.5

%41Over 2.5

%47Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%53

Both score%47

Over 2.5%41

Cerro win%40

Draw%30

Central Espanol win%30

Why?

Cerro: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CerroL1-3D1-1W3-2L0-2D0-0

Central EspanolL1-3L0-1L0-6L0-1L0-3

Last 8 meetings

4Cerro won

1Draw

3Central Espanol won

2.4
Goals per game3/8
Over 2.53/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Cerro · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Central Espanol · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Cerro · last 2 at home4.0 corners, 3.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners1/2Over 4.5 corners1/2Over 5.5 corners0/2Over 0.5 cards2/2Over 1.5 cards2/2

Central Espanol · last 2 away4.0 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners

Bench

Alan Benitez, Mateo Urrutia, A. Villoldo, J. Pou, M. Montiel, J. Dellarossa, M. Aguilera, Santiago Sequeira

Cerro – Central EspanolSeptember 29, 2021 · Segunda División0-0

Central Espanol – CerroJune 17, 2021 · Segunda División3-2

Central Espanol – CerroMay 18, 2013 · Primera División - Clausura0-2

Cerro – Central EspanolNovember 25, 2012 · Primera División - Apertura0-2

Ezequiel ForclazOff: Cristian Barros

62'⚽Brahian AlemánPenalty

69'⇄J. DellarossaOff: facundo sosa

78'⇄Marcos MontielOff: Nunes Cesar

79'⇄Jorge Alejandro Severo CorderoOff: Damián Suárez

83'⇄Mariano AguileraOff: Fernando Camarda

86'⇄rodrigo mederosOff: Gianni Rodriguez

Statistics

66%Possession34%

7Total shots6

2Shots on target5

6Corners0

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Central Espanol: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Cerro scored 0.8 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Central Espanol scored 0.7 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Cerro · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10

Central Espanol · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Cerro: 10 games · Central Espanol: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.1Total goals per gameleague 2.42.1

10/10Over 0.5league %928/10

7/10Over 1.5league %675/10

4/10Over 2.5league %445/10

0/10Over 3.5league %211/10

0/10Over 4.5league %91/10

5/10Both scoreleague %503/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score6/10

Cerro: 10 games · Central Espanol: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)0.6

1.7Goals conceded (avg)2.2

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.42.8

9/10Over 0.5league %929/10

9/10Over 1.5league %677/10

6/10Over 2.5league %446/10

3/10Over 3.5league %213/10

1/10Over 4.5league %92/10

7/10Both scoreleague %505/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score5/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Central Espanol: a 9-match wait for a win is over.

%30 Our model's pre-match chance of an Central Espanol win.

6 – 0 Corners: Cerro 6 – 0 Central Espanol.

66 – 34 Possession (%): Cerro 66 – 34 Central Espanol.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Cerro · Primera División

Central Espanol · Primera División

Cerro · All games

Central Espanol · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Cerro's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match