Worcester City – Chorley: probabilities, statistics and live score

Worcester CityRegular Season · #17

1-0Tuesday, October 20

ChorleyNational League N/S: North · #12

Match events

Worcester CityChorley

89'⚽Goal

Chances to win

Worcester City%38

Draw%26

Chorley%35

At a glance

Over 1.5

%52Over 2.5

%56Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Worcester CityD1-1L1-3L0-1W3-1D2-2

ChorleyD1-1W2-1W4-1W2-1W

Last 1 meetings

0Worcester City won

1Draw

0Chorley won

2.0
Goals per game0/1
Over 2.51/1
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Worcester City · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Chorley · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%52

Under 2.5%48

Not both score%44

Worcester City win%38

Chorley win%35

Draw%26

Why?

Worcester City · last 10 at home: both scored 5 times5/10

Chorley · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

Worcester City: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 home matches.
Chorley: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.
Worcester City scored 1.4 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Chorley scored 1.1 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Worcester City: 10 games · Chorley: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.22.5

9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

5/10Over 1.5league %848/10

4/10Over 2.5league %644/10

3/10Over 3.5league %412/10

2/10Over 4.5league %221/10

4/10Both scoreleague %573/10

4/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score4/10

Worcester City: 10 games · Chorley: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.22.7

9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

7/10Over 1.5league %848/10

5/10Over 2.5league %645/10

4/10Over 3.5league %412/10

1/10Over 4.5league %222/10

5/10Both scoreleague %575/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

89'

decided it in minute 89.

%39 Our model's pre-match chance of a Worcester City win.

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 1 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Worcester City · All games

Missing players

Last 1 meetings

Previous meetings

Chorley · All games

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match