Watanga – LPRC Oilers: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·LFA First Division · Liberia · Matchday 4

WatangaRegular Season · #14

1-2Wednesday, October 28

LPRC OilersRegular Season · #7

Chances to win

Watanga%48

Draw%25

LPRC Oilers%27

At a glance

Over 1.5

%53Over 2.5

%56Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

WatangaD1-1L1-2D2-2D3-3W3-1

LPRC OilersD3-3W6-1L0-2D1-1W

Last 12 meetings

3Watanga won

4Draw

5LPRC Oilers won

2.8
Goals per game6/12
Over 2.57/12
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Watanga · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

LPRC Oilers · last 10 away5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).7/9games led at half-time.Won 6 of the 7 games it led at half-time.

LPRC Oilers – WatangaFebruary 11, 2024 · LFA First Division2-1

Watanga – LPRC OilersNovember 22, 2023 · LFA First Division4-0

LPRC Oilers – WatangaMarch 15, 2023 · LFA First Division1-4

Watanga – LPRC OilersOctober 23, 2022 · LFA First Division3-3

Watanga – LPRC OilersFebruary 27, 2022 · LFA First Division1-0

LPRC Oilers – WatangaNovember 21, 2021 · LFA First Division2-2

Watanga – LPRC OilersMay 2, 2021 · LFA First Division1-1

LPRC Oilers – WatangaFebruary 14, 2021 · LFA First Division1-1

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%53Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%56

Watanga win%48

Under 2.5%47

Not both score%44

LPRC Oilers win%27

Draw%25

Why?

Watanga · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

LPRC Oilers · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Watanga: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
LPRC Oilers: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.
Watanga scored 1.9 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.
LPRC Oilers scored 2.8 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Watanga: 9 games · LPRC Oilers: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)2.8

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.24.1

8/9Over 0.5league %9710/10

7/9Over 1.5league %8110/10

7/9Over 2.5league %588/10

3/9Over 3.5league %365/10

1/9Over 4.5league %174/10

6/9Both scoreleague %617/10

3/9Clean sheets2/10

1/9Failed to score1/10

Watanga: 10 games · LPRC Oilers: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)2.4

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.23.8

9/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

8/10Over 1.5league %8110/10

7/10Over 2.5league %587/10

4/10Over 3.5league %365/10

2/10Over 4.5league %173/10

8/10Both scoreleague %617/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of an LPRC Oilers win.

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Results
When they score
When they concede

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Results
When they score
When they concede

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Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 12 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Missing players

This fixture at Watanga's ground

Last 12 meetings

Previous meetings

Watanga · LFA First Division

LPRC Oilers · LFA First Division

Watanga · All games

LPRC Oilers · All games

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match