BEA Mountain – Fassell: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·LFA First Division · Liberia · Matchday 4

BEA MountainRegular Season · #1

2-1Wednesday, October 28

FassellRegular Season · #8

Chances to win

BEA Mountain%46

Draw%28

Fassell%26

At a glance

Over 1.5

%42Over 2.5

%47Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%53

Both score%47

BEA Mountain win%46

Over 2.5%42

Draw%28

Fassell win%26

Why?

BEA Mountain: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

BEA MountainW5-2W2-1W2-0W2-1W4-0

FassellD1-1W2-0W1-0W3-2D0-0

Last 4 meetings

1BEA Mountain won

1Draw

2Fassell won

2.3
Goals per game2/4
Over 2.51/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

BEA Mountain · last 10 at home9/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).7/9games led at half-time.Won 7 of the 7 games it led at half-time.

Fassell · last 10 away5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Fassell: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

BEA Mountain scored 3.2 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Fassell scored 2.0 and conceded 0.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Fassell · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

BEA Mountain: 10 games · Fassell: 8 games · league average in grey

Goals

3.4Goals scored (avg)1.6

0.8Goals conceded (avg)0.8

4.2Total goals per gameleague 3.22.4

10/10Over 0.5league %978/8

10/10Over 1.5league %816/8

7/10Over 2.5league %583/8

5/10Over 3.5league %361/8

3/10Over 4.5league %171/8

5/10Both scoreleague %613/8

5/10Clean sheets5/8

0/10Failed to score0/8

BEA Mountain: 10 games · Fassell: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

3.1Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.2Goals conceded (avg)0.6

4.3Total goals per gameleague 3.22.2

10/10Over 0.5league %979/10

10/10Over 1.5league %817/10

9/10Over 2.5league %584/10

6/10Over 3.5league %361/10

4/10Over 4.5league %171/10

8/10Both scoreleague %614/10

2/10Clean sheets6/10

0/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Fassell: a 9-match unbeaten run ended here.

BEA Mountain: win number 8 in a row.

%46 Our model's pre-match chance of a BEA Mountain win.

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

BEA Mountain · LFA First Division

Fassell · LFA First Division

BEA Mountain · All games

Fassell · All games

Missing players

This fixture at BEA Mountain's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match