Real Oruro – Nacional Potosí: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Primera División · Bolivia · Apertura - 24

Real OruroPrimera División · #11

1-1Saturday, October 31

Nacional PotosíPrimera División · #7

Match events

Real OruroNacional Potosí

8'P. Azogue
45'⇄Santos García CuéllarOff: Jhámil Rodrigo Ari Cruz
45'⇄luis paviaOff: D. Hoyos
45'⇄Juan BatistaOff: Schneider Peña Vaca
58'⇄Raul ArdayaOff: F. Gatti
59'⇄Juan MontenegroOff: Rivaldo Omar Méndez Maraz

Chances to win

Real Oruro%34

Draw%25

Nacional Potosí%41

At a glance

Over 1.5

%63Over 2.5

%65Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%65

Nacional Potosí win%41

Under 2.5%37

Not both score%35

Real Oruro win%34

Draw%25

Why?

Real Oruro: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Real OruroL1-5W1-0W3-1W4-0L0-2

Nacional PotosíW3-0L2-3L0-1D2-2W3-2

Last 7 meetings

3Real Oruro won

1Draw

3Nacional Potosí won

2.6
Goals per game3/7
Over 2.53/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Real Oruro · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Nacional Potosí · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Real Oruro · last 5 at home4.8 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/5Over 4.5 corners2/5Over 5.5 corners2/5Over 0.5 cards5/5Over 1.5 cards

Nacional Potosí · last 3 away4.3 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners2/3Over 4.5 corners1/3Over 5.5 corners1/3Over 0.5 cards3/3Over 1.5 cards2/3

Rodrigo Fabián Ávila Sóliz

Bench

E. Arauz, L. Pavia, Juan Batista, Jhojan Fenando Arce Pari, E. Cano, K. Quiroz, Y. Martínez, M. Solís, M. Tomianovic, Alfredo Alejandro García Escalante, D. Villalba

December 12, 2025 · Primera División

Nacional Potosí – Real OruroOctober 27, 2025 · Copa de la División Profesional0-0

Real Oruro – Nacional PotosíOctober 12, 2025 · Copa de la División Profesional1-0

Nacional Potosí – Real OruroJuly 15, 2025 · Primera División2-3

60'⇄Yesit MartínezOff: P. Azogue

77'⇄Maicon SolisOff: Maximiliano Núñez

81'VARD. CastellónPenalty confirmed

83'⚽Leandro CoruloPenalty

83'⇄Carlos Eduardo SilesOff: Ademar Rivera Sifuentes

87'⇄E. CanoOff: R. Ávila

90+2'⇄Thiago CastedoOff: A. Bravo

90+7'VARJuan BatistaGoal cancelled

Statistics

43%Possession57%

2.02Expected goals0.76

20Total shots10

8Shots on target4

5Corners5

10Fouls8

0Offsides3

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards1

3Saves7

Nacional Potosí: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Real Oruro scored 1.4 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Nacional Potosí scored 1.6 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Real Oruro · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Nacional Potosí · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Real Oruro: 10 games · Nacional Potosí: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.7

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.9Total goals per gameleague 3.03.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

8/10Over 1.5league %8310/10

4/10Over 2.5league %616/10

4/10Over 3.5league %364/10

2/10Over 4.5league %192/10

4/10Both scoreleague %617/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

Real Oruro: 10 games · Nacional Potosí: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)2.3

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.9Total goals per gameleague 3.03.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

8/10Over 1.5league %838/10

5/10Over 2.5league %615/10

4/10Over 3.5league %364/10

1/10Over 4.5league %193/10

5/10Both scoreleague %615/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%20 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Real Oruro win 668, 201 end level and Nacional Potosí win 131. The actual result comes up 201 times in 1000.

%25 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

2.02 – 0.76 The score the chances deserved (xG): Real Oruro 2.02 – 0.76 Nacional Potosí.

20 – 10 Shots: Real Oruro 20 – 10 Nacional Potosí.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Real Oruro · Primera División

Nacional Potosí · Primera División

Real Oruro · All games

Nacional Potosí · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Real Oruro's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match