ATK Mohun Bagan – Minerva Punjab: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Indian Super League · India · Matchday 4

ATK Mohun BaganSuper league · #1

2-1Saturday, October 31

Minerva PunjabSuper league · #4

Match events

ATK Mohun BaganMinerva Punjab

1'R. Messi Bouli
4'⚽A. PlanasAssist: K. Sanathoi Singh
12'M. Singh
13'⇄A. ThapaOff: S. Samad
18'⚽L. ErwinAssist: A. Thapa
42'⚽D. Drazic
46'

Chances to win

ATK Mohun Bagan%55

Draw%24

Minerva Punjab%21

At a glance

Over 1.5

%55Over 2.5

%55Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

ATK Mohun BaganW1-0W2-1L0-1W2-1D1-1

Minerva PunjabW3-2D1-1W2-1L0-2L

Last 6 meetings

5ATK Mohun Bagan won

1Draw

0Minerva Punjab won

2.8
Goals per game4/6
Over 2.53/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

ATK Mohun Bagan · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Minerva Punjab · last 8 away2/8games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/8games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/8games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

ATK Mohun Bagan · last 1 at home7.0 corners, 0.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners1/1Over 4.5 corners1/1Over 5.5 corners1/1Over 0.5 cards0/1Over 1.5 cards0/1

Minerva Punjab · last 1 away3.0 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners0/1Over 4.5 corners

12Khaiminthang Lhungdim

99Konsam Sanathoi Singh

19Manglenthang Kipgen

28Raphaël Messi Bouli

Bench

Muheet Shabbir, Karish Soram, Ngarin Shaiza, Nongmeikapam Meitei, Arshvir Singh, Mickaël Malsa, Vishal Yadav, Muhammad Suhail, Gurkirat Singh

Minerva Punjab – ATK Mohun BaganApril 6, 2024 · Indian Super League0-1

ATK Mohun Bagan – Minerva PunjabSeptember 23, 2023 · Indian Super League3-1

M. Suhail FOff: M. Kipgen

46'⇄K. SoramOff: M. Uvais

62'⇄S. MeiteiOff: N. Prabhu

62'⇄M. MalsaOff: B. Sharma

73'⇄L. ColacoOff: D. Drazic

80'⇄G. SinghOff: K. Sanathoi Singh

89'⇄L. ChhangteOff: L. Erwin

Statistics

46%Possession54%

14Total shots10

7Shots on target4

4Corners4

9Fouls14

0Offsides3

2Yellow cards3

3Saves6

82%Pass accuracy85%

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

ATK Mohun Bagan win%55

Both score%55

Not both score%45

Under 2.5%45

Draw%24

Minerva Punjab win%21

Why?

Minerva Punjab · last 8 away: 3+ goals 4 times4/8

ATK Mohun Bagan: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.
Minerva Punjab: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 8 away matches.
ATK Mohun Bagan scored 2.1 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Minerva Punjab scored 1.6 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 8 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

ATK Mohun Bagan: 10 games · Minerva Punjab: 9 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)1.6

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.9Total goals per gameleague 2.52.8

9/10Over 0.5league %867/9

7/10Over 1.5league %766/9

5/10Over 2.5league %435/9

3/10Over 3.5league %244/9

3/10Over 4.5league %193/9

6/10Both scoreleague %625/9

3/10Clean sheets3/9

2/10Failed to score3/9

ATK Mohun Bagan: 10 games · Minerva Punjab: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.1

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.1Total goals per gameleague 2.52.3

9/10Over 0.5league %868/10

6/10Over 1.5league %767/10

4/10Over 2.5league %434/10

1/10Over 3.5league %242/10

1/10Over 4.5league %192/10

6/10Both scoreleague %625/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

8.0

Man of the match: Lee Erwin (ATK Mohun Bagan), rated 8.0.

%55 Our model's pre-match chance of a ATK Mohun Bagan win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at ATK Mohun Bagan's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

ATK Mohun Bagan · Indian Super League

Minerva Punjab · Indian Super League

ATK Mohun Bagan · All games

Minerva Punjab · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match