Hoek – Sparta Nijkerk: probabilities, statistics and live score

HoekTweede Divisie · #15

4-2Thursday, October 29

Sparta NijkerkDerde Divisie · #9

Match events

HoekSparta Nijkerk

4'⚽M. BostdorpAssist: K. Hebbelinck
10'W. Vink
15'⚽T. BuitinkAssist: D. Koida
21'⚽W. VinkAssist: T. Pieters
34'L. Ketels
39'⚽M. Bostdorp
45+2'⚽

Chances to win

Hoek%66

Draw%20

Sparta Nijkerk%15

At a glance

Over 1.5

%65Over 2.5

%58Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

HoekL1-3D0-0L0-2W3-1L0-3

Sparta NijkerkW2-0L0-3L0-2W2-0W

Last 6 meetings

3Hoek won

1Draw

2Sparta Nijkerk won

3.5
Goals per game4/6
Over 2.54/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Hoek · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Sparta Nijkerk · last 10 away4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Hoek win.

%66Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%65

Both score%58

Not both score%42

Under 2.5%35

Draw%20

Sparta Nijkerk win%15

Why?

Hoek · last 10 at home: 5 wins5/10

Hoek won 5 of their last 10 home matches.
Hoek scored 1.8 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Sparta Nijkerk scored 2.1 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Hoek: 10 games · Sparta Nijkerk: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.73.5

9/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8610/10

6/10Over 2.5league %648/10

5/10Over 3.5league %495/10

1/10Over 4.5league %281/10

5/10Both scoreleague %536/10

4/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

Hoek: 10 games · Sparta Nijkerk: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)2.0

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.73.5

9/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8610/10

6/10Over 2.5league %647/10

4/10Over 3.5league %495/10

1/10Over 4.5league %282/10

6/10Both scoreleague %535/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

14 – 5 Shots: Hoek 14 – 5 Sparta Nijkerk.

6 – 0 Corners: Hoek 6 – 0 Sparta Nijkerk.

7.9

Man of the match: Tim Pieters (Sparta Nijkerk), rated 7.9.

%66 Our model's pre-match chance of a Hoek win.

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Referee

Hoek · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Hoek's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Sparta Nijkerk · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match