Saipa – Naft Gachsaran: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Azadegan League · Iran · Matchday 7

SaipaRegular Season · #7

0-1Tuesday, October 27

Naft GachsaranRegular Season · #8

Match events

SaipaNaft Gachsaran

64'⚽S. Ashena

Chances to win

Saipa%52

Draw%30

Naft Gachsaran%18

At a glance

Over 1.5

%32Over 2.5

%36Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%68Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%64

Saipa win%52

Both score%36

Over 2.5%32

Draw%30

Naft Gachsaran win%18

Why?

Saipa: 2 or fewer goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

SaipaD1-1L0-1L0-2W2-1W1-0

Naft GachsaranW4-2L0-1D1-1D0-0L0-1

Last 6 meetings

3Saipa won

2Draw

1Naft Gachsaran won

2.3
Goals per game3/6
Over 2.54/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Saipa · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Naft Gachsaran · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Saipa – Naft GachsaranJune 5, 2024 · Azadegan League2-1

Naft Gachsaran – SaipaDecember 12, 2023 · Azadegan League2-3

Naft Gachsaran: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

Saipa scored 0.9 and conceded 0.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Naft Gachsaran scored 0.8 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Saipa · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 9 times9/10

Naft Gachsaran · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10

Saipa: 10 games · Naft Gachsaran: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)0.8

0.3Goals conceded (avg)0.9

1.1Total goals per gameleague 1.81.7

8/10Over 0.5league %827/10

2/10Over 1.5league %504/10

1/10Over 2.5league %292/10

0/10Over 3.5league %132/10

0/10Over 4.5league %71/10

1/10Both scoreleague %364/10

7/10Clean sheets5/10

4/10Failed to score4/10

Saipa: 10 games · Naft Gachsaran: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)0.8

0.6Goals conceded (avg)1.0

1.6Total goals per gameleague 1.81.8

10/10Over 0.5league %828/10

5/10Over 1.5league %504/10

1/10Over 2.5league %292/10

0/10Over 3.5league %132/10

0/10Over 4.5league %71/10

2/10Both scoreleague %363/10

5/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score6/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%18 Our model's pre-match chance of an Naft Gachsaran win.

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Saipa · Azadegan League

Naft Gachsaran · Azadegan League

Saipa · All games

Naft Gachsaran · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Saipa's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match