Wuhan Three Towns II – Qingdao Red Lions: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·League Two · China · Relegation Group - 29

Wuhan Three Towns II

0-1Saturday, October 31

Qingdao Red Lions

Match events

Wuhan Three Towns IIQingdao Red Lions

44'Abdugheni Halit
44'Yao Zhiyu
46'⇄G. WangOff: X. Huang
51'⇄Ruan JingweiOff: Zhang Zhenyang
61'⇄Xu ZhengpengOff: Abdugheni Halit
63'⇄Mei JingxuanOff: Deng Jiajie

Chances to win

Wuhan Three Towns II%51

Draw%29

Qingdao Red Lions%21

At a glance

Over 1.5

%39Over 2.5

%42Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%61Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%58

Wuhan Three Towns II win%51

Both score%42

Over 2.5%39

Draw%29

Qingdao Red Lions win%21

Why?

Wuhan Three Towns II: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Wuhan Three Towns IIL0-3W2-0D1-1W2-0L0-2

Qingdao Red LionsW1-0L0-3D1-1L0-2L1-2

Last 1 meetings

1Wuhan Three Towns II won

0Draw

0Qingdao Red Lions won

2.0
Goals per game0/1
Over 2.50/1
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Wuhan Three Towns II · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Qingdao Red Lions · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Li MingfanOff: Chen Zitong

68'⚽G. WangAssist: Huang Yuxuan

71'⇄Y. JiangOff: Sun Xu

74'⇄Jiang WeilangOff: Z. Zhao

74'⇄He SifanOff: Zhang Tao

74'⇄Zhu WenchuanOff: Wu Junhao

80'⇄Mehmut FerdanwusOff: Yao Zhiyu

Qingdao Red Lions: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Wuhan Three Towns II scored 1.0 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Qingdao Red Lions scored 0.9 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Wuhan Three Towns II · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10

Qingdao Red Lions · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10

Wuhan Three Towns II: 10 games · Qingdao Red Lions: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)0.7

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.0Total goals per gameleague 2.11.8

10/10Over 0.5league %839/10

7/10Over 1.5league %627/10

2/10Over 2.5league %372/10

1/10Over 3.5league %170/10

0/10Over 4.5league %60/10

3/10Both scoreleague %464/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

5/10Failed to score4/10

Wuhan Three Towns II: 10 games · Qingdao Red Lions: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)0.7

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.1Total goals per gameleague 2.11.8

9/10Over 0.5league %8310/10

8/10Over 1.5league %626/10

3/10Over 2.5league %372/10

1/10Over 3.5league %170/10

0/10Over 4.5league %60/10

1/10Both scoreleague %463/10

4/10Clean sheets4/10

6/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%21 Our model's pre-match chance of an Qingdao Red Lions win.

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 1 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Wuhan Three Towns II · League Two

Qingdao Red Lions · League Two

Wuhan Three Towns II · All games

Qingdao Red Lions · All games

Missing players

Last 1 meetings

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match