Servette Chênois W – OH Leuven W: probabilities, statistics and live score

Servette Chênois W

5-1Wednesday, October 28

OH Leuven WRegular Season · #3

Match events

Servette Chênois WOH Leuven W

16'⚽Paola HernándezAssist: Joana Marchão
38'⚽Gloria MarinelliAssist: Bénédicte Simon
44'⚽Gloria Marinelli
45'⇄Jada ConijnenbergOff: Camille Lafaix
58'⚽Paola Hernández
60'⇄Kadhiya De CeusterOff: Isabella Dekker
60'

Chances to win

Servette Chênois W%28

Draw%26

OH Leuven W%46

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%62Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Servette Chênois WL1-5L0-8W3-0L2-3W4-0

OH Leuven WW4-0L1-3D0-0L0-5D

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Servette Chênois W · last 3 at home2/3games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).2/3games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/3games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

OH Leuven W · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Servette Chênois W · last 2 at home1.5 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners0/2Over 4.5 corners0/2Over 5.5 corners0/2Over 0.5 cards2/2Over 1.5 cards2/2

OH Leuven W · last 1 away2.0 corners, 0.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%62

OH Leuven W win%46

Under 2.5%40

Not both score%38

Servette Chênois W win%28

Draw%26

Why?

OH Leuven W · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Servette Chênois W: 3+ goals in 3 of their last 3 home matches.
OH Leuven W: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.
Servette Chênois W scored 2.3 and conceded 2.7 per game in their last 3 home matches.
OH Leuven W scored 1.7 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Servette Chênois W: 4 games · OH Leuven W: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

3.0Goals scored (avg)1.6

2.3Goals conceded (avg)1.6

5.3Total goals per gameleague 3.63.2

4/4Over 0.5league %969/10

4/4Over 1.5league %908/10

4/4Over 2.5league %645/10

3/4Over 3.5league %465/10

2/4Over 4.5league %324/10

1/4Both scoreleague %575/10

2/4Clean sheets4/10

1/4Failed to score2/10

Servette Chênois W: 7 games · OH Leuven W: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.6Goals scored (avg)1.8

2.4Goals conceded (avg)1.5

5.0Total goals per gameleague 3.63.3

7/7Over 0.5league %967/10

7/7Over 1.5league %907/10

7/7Over 2.5league %646/10

5/7Over 3.5league %466/10

4/7Over 4.5league %324/10

3/7Both scoreleague %574/10

3/7Clean sheets5/10

1/7Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

0.69 – 0.35 The score the chances deserved (xG): Servette Chênois W 0.69 – 0.35 OH Leuven W.

%39 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Servette Chênois W win 390, 444 end level and OH Leuven W win 166. The actual result comes up 390 times in 1000.

%28 Our model's pre-match chance of a Servette Chênois W win.

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Servette Chênois W · UEFA Champions League Women

OH Leuven W · UEFA Champions League Women

Servette Chênois W · All games

OH Leuven W · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match