Arsenal W – SL Benfica W: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·UEFA Champions League Women · League phase · Matchday 3

Arsenal WSuper League Women · #6

3-0Wednesday, October 28

SL Benfica W

Match events

Arsenal WSL Benfica W

39'⚽Alessia RussoAssist: Caitlin Foord
45'⇄Andreia NortonOff: Paula Domínguez Encinas
64'⇄Flourish Chioma SabastineOff: Lúcia Alves
64'⇄Carolina TristãoOff: Anna Julia Csiki
66'⚽Alessia RussoAssist: Stephanie Catley
71'⇄Kim LittleOff: Kyra Cooney-Cross

Chances to win

Arsenal W%77

Draw%14

SL Benfica W%9

At a glance

Over 1.5

%68Over 2.5

%50Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Arsenal W win.

%77Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 8.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%68

Both score%50

Not both score%50

Under 2.5%32

Draw%14

SL Benfica W win%9

Why?

Arsenal W won 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Arsenal WW2-1D1-1L2-4D2-2L0-1

SL Benfica WW4-1W4-0L0-3W2-1W2-0

Last 1 meetings

1Arsenal W won

0Draw

0SL Benfica W won

2.0
Goals per game0/1
Over 2.50/1
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Arsenal W · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

SL Benfica W · last 10 away6/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).7/10games led at half-time.Won 6 of the 7 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Arsenal W · last 4 at home11.5 corners, 0.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/4Over 4.5 corners4/4Over 5.5 corners4/4Over 0.5 cards2/4Over 1.5 cards0/4

SL Benfica W · last 1 away

3.0 corners, 1.0 cards a game

Bench

Oluwatosin Demehin, Andreia Norton, Ana Borges

71'⇄Emily FoxOff: Taylor Hinds

71'⇄Leah WilliamsonOff: Elisa De Almeida

78'⇄Ana Clara Campos Rocha OliveiraOff: Caroline Moller

78'⇄Shao ZiqinOff: Frøya Dorsin

79'⚽Alessia RussoPenalty

79'⇄Lisa BaumOff: Géraldine Reuteler

86'⇄Stina BlacksteniusOff: Olivia Smith

Statistics

63%Possession37%

3.01Expected goals0.31

31Total shots5

15Shots on target2

12Corners3

6Fouls13

3Offsides2

0Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

2Saves11

Arsenal W scored 2.6 and conceded 0.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

SL Benfica W scored 2.6 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Arsenal W · last 10 at home: 7 wins7/10

Arsenal W: 10 games · SL Benfica W: 9 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.4Goals scored (avg)2.7

0.6Goals conceded (avg)0.7

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.63.3

9/10Over 0.5league %969/9

7/10Over 1.5league %908/9

5/10Over 2.5league %647/9

3/10Over 3.5league %465/9

2/10Over 4.5league %321/9

5/10Both scoreleague %573/9

5/10Clean sheets5/9

1/10Failed to score1/9

Arsenal W: 10 games · SL Benfica W: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)2.2

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.0

2.3Total goals per gameleague 3.63.2

9/10Over 0.5league %9610/10

6/10Over 1.5league %909/10

4/10Over 2.5league %648/10

2/10Over 3.5league %464/10

1/10Over 4.5league %321/10

5/10Both scoreleague %574/10

4/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%90 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Arsenal W win 901, 79 end level and SL Benfica W win 20. The actual result comes up 901 times in 1000.

3.01 – 0.31 The score the chances deserved (xG): Arsenal W 3.01 – 0.31 SL Benfica W.

31 – 5 Shots: Arsenal W 31 – 5 SL Benfica W.

15 – 2 Shots on target: Arsenal W 15 – 2 SL Benfica W.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 1 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Arsenal W · UEFA Champions League Women

SL Benfica W · UEFA Champions League Women

Arsenal W · All games

SL Benfica W · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 1 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match