Union St. Gilloise – Hapoel Beer Sheva: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·UEFA Europa League · League phase · Matchday 3

Union St. GilloisePro League · #3

4-0Thursday, October 22

Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Al · #3

Match events

Union St. GilloiseHapoel Beer Sheva

14'⇄Raul FloruczOff: Mateo Biondic
20'Nohim Chibani
25'Niv·Yehoshua
30'⇄Dylan AquinoOff: Darius Olaru
45+1'⚽Raul FloruczPenalty
45+6'zahi ahmed
54'

Chances to win

Union St. Gilloise%68

Draw%19

Hapoel Beer Sheva%13

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%52Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Union St. Gilloise win.

%68Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%60

Both score%52

Not both score%48

Under 2.5%40

Draw%19

Hapoel Beer Sheva win%13

Why?

Union St. Gilloise won 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Union St. GilloiseW3-0D1-1D1-1W2-0W3-0

Hapoel Beer ShevaW2-1L1-2W2-0W1-0D0-0

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Union St. Gilloise · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Hapoel Beer Sheva · last 10 away4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Union St. Gilloise · last 8 at home5.4 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/8Over 4.5 corners4/8Over 5.5 corners3/8Over 0.5 cards

Hapoel Beer Sheva · last 6 away4.5 corners, 3.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/6Over 4.5 corners3/6Over 5.5 corners2/6Over 0.5 cards6/6Over 1.5 cards6/6

11Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho

Bench

V. Chambaere, G. Kavelashvili, D. De Roeve, R. Sykes, K. Rodríguez, D. Aquino, R. Florucz, S. Keita

Hapoel Beer Sheva · 4-3-3

1O. Marciano

2G. Mizrahi

4M. Vítor

5Pedro Amador

12I. Rotman

7E. Peretz

17A. Forson

28N. Yehoshua

9Z. Ahmed

20J. East

66I. Zlatanović

Bench

M. Wolff, Y. Shani, M. Baltaxa, O. Davidzada, D. Diop, M. Kna'an, A. Ganah, Y. Malede, M. Abu Rumi, João Victor, A. Ugarriza

João VictorOff: Eilel Peretz

60'⚽Guilherme SmithAssist: Relebohile Mofokeng

66'⇄Hamode KanaanOff: Forson Amankwah

66'⇄Adrián UgarrizaOff: Igor Zlatanović

66'⇄Matan BaltaksaOff: Miguel Vitor

72'Kamiel Van De Perre

76'⇄Amir Chaim·GanahOff: guy mizrahi

79'⇄Daniel Tshilanda KabongoOff: Massire Sylla

79'⇄Denzel De RoeveOff: Nohim Chibani

79'⇄Kevin RodriguezOff: Relebohile Mofokeng

81'⚽Guilherme SmithAssist: Denzel De Roeve

Statistics

69%Possession31%

2.74Expected goals0.65

29Total shots6

15Shots on target4

4Corners0

6Fouls13

0Offsides2

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

4Saves11

Union St. Gilloise scored 2.5 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Hapoel Beer Sheva scored 1.5 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Union St. Gilloise · last 10 at home: 5 wins5/10

Union St. Gilloise: 10 games · Hapoel Beer Sheva: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

3.0Goals scored (avg)1.7

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.8

3.8Total goals per gameleague 2.93.5

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

9/10Over 1.5league %7610/10

7/10Over 2.5league %607/10

5/10Over 3.5league %334/10

4/10Over 4.5league %172/10

5/10Both scoreleague %465/10

5/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

Union St. Gilloise: 10 games · Hapoel Beer Sheva: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

3.0Goals scored (avg)1.6

0.6Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.6Total goals per gameleague 2.93.1

10/10Over 0.5league %939/10

10/10Over 1.5league %768/10

7/10Over 2.5league %606/10

4/10Over 3.5league %334/10

3/10Over 4.5league %172/10

4/10Both scoreleague %465/10

6/10Clean sheets4/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

2.76 – 0.65 The score the chances deserved (xG): Union St. Gilloise 2.76 – 0.65 Hapoel Beer Sheva.

%81 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Union St. Gilloise win 813, 125 end level and Hapoel Beer Sheva win 63. The actual result comes up 813 times in 1000.

29 – 6 Shots: Union St. Gilloise 29 – 6 Hapoel Beer Sheva.

15 – 4 Shots on target: Union St. Gilloise 15 – 4 Hapoel Beer Sheva.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Union St. Gilloise · European games

Hapoel Beer Sheva · European games

Union St. Gilloise · All games

Hapoel Beer Sheva · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match