Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe: probabilities, statistics and live score

Aston VillaPremier League · #9

6-0Wednesday, October 14

FenerbahçeSüper Lig · #5

Match events

Aston VillaFenerbahçe

12'⚽Johan Manzambi
31'⚽Nicolas JacksonAssist: Boubacar Kamara
39'⚽Nicolas JacksonAssist: Ross Barkley
42'Mattéo Guendouzi
68'⚽Ross BarkleyPenalty
69'⇄Bartuğ ElmazOff: Ismail Yüksek
69'

Chances to win

Aston Villa%58

Draw%23

Fenerbahçe%19

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Aston VillaD2-2W3-2W3-1L1-2W3-2

FenerbahçeW3-0W8-0D0-0D1-1L

Last 1 meetings

1Aston Villa won

0Draw

0Fenerbahçe won

1.0
Goals per game0/1
Over 2.50/1
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Aston Villa · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Fenerbahçe · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Aston Villa · last 10 at home4.4 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Aston Villa · 4-2-3-1

1Z. Suzuki

2M. Cash

3V. Lindelöf

14Pau Torres

29A. Wan-Bissaka

6R. Barkley

7J. McGinn

8B. Kamara

19I. Mbaye

44J. Manzambi

11N. Jackson

Bench

M. Bizot, J. Wright, T. Mings, E. Buendía, L. Bogarde, L. Goretzka, João Gomes, A. Garnacho, T. Abraham, Alysson Edward

Fenerbahçe · 4-2-3-1

31Ederson

3A. Brown

15N. Aké

27Nélson Semedo

37M. Škriniar

5İ. Yüksek

6M. Guendouzi

11M. Greenwood

17İ. Kahveci

70O. Aydın

19V. Muriqi

Bench

T. Çetin, M. Günok, Y. Demir, K. Peprah Oppong, L. Mercan, O. MimoviÄ, B. Elmaz, N. Kanté, K. Aktürkoğlu, R. Lukaku, N. Dorgeles

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%59

Aston Villa win%58

Not both score%41

Under 2.5%40

Draw%23

Fenerbahçe win%19

Why?

Aston Villa · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Fenerbahçe · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Aston Villa: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
Fenerbahçe: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.
Aston Villa scored 2.4 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Fenerbahçe scored 1.3 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Aston Villa: 10 games · Fenerbahçe: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.4Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.2

3.6Total goals per gameleague 3.32.6

10/10Over 0.5league %979/10

9/10Over 1.5league %838/10

8/10Over 2.5league %606/10

5/10Over 3.5league %421/10

2/10Over 4.5league %261/10

7/10Both scoreleague %574/10

2/10Clean sheets5/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

Aston Villa: 10 games · Fenerbahçe: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.2Goals scored (avg)2.0

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.33.5

10/10Over 0.5league %979/10

9/10Over 1.5league %839/10

8/10Over 2.5league %608/10

5/10Over 3.5league %423/10

2/10Over 4.5league %262/10

7/10Both scoreleague %575/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

2.26 – 2.04 The score the chances deserved (xG): Aston Villa 2.26 – 2.04 Fenerbahçe.

%44 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Aston Villa win 442, 198 end level and Fenerbahçe win 360. The actual result comes up 442 times in 1000.

11 – 4 Shots on target: Aston Villa 11 – 4 Fenerbahçe.

9.7

Man of the match: N. Jackson (Aston Villa), rated 9.7.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 1 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Last 1 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Aston Villa · UEFA Champions League

Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League

Aston Villa · All games

Fenerbahçe · All games

Starting line-ups

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match