Club Guarani – 2 de Mayo: probabilities, statistics and live score

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Club GuaraniPrimera Division: Clausura · #6

1-0Saturday, October 31

2 de MayoPrimera Division: Clausura · #5

Match events

Club Guarani2 de Mayo

28'Luis Delgadillo
37'Armando Méndez
45'⇄Matías Julian López EstigarribiaOff: L. Martínez
45'⇄Alexis FariñaOff: Luis Delgadillo
48'⚽Victor·CespedesAssist: Cristian Leandro Allende
57'⇄Pedro DelvalleOff: Matías Moya

Chances to win

Club Guarani%51

Draw%27

2 de Mayo%22

At a glance

Over 1.5

%46Over 2.5

%49Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Club GuaraniW2-0L0-2D2-2D1-1W1-0

2 de MayoD1-1L0-3W1-0W2-0D

Last 13 meetings

6Club Guarani won

4Draw

32 de Mayo won

2.0
Goals per game4/13
Over 2.55/13
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Club Guarani · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

2 de Mayo · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Club Guarani · last 8 at home5.6 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/8Over 4.5 corners5/8Over 5.5 corners3/8Over 0.5 cards

2 de Mayo · last 8 away3.4 corners, 2.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/8Over 4.5 corners2/8Over 5.5 corners1/8Over 0.5 cards7/8Over 1.5 cards7/8

Rodrigo Antonio Gómez Villalba

Bench

Mario Ramírez, U. Coronel, Á. Aguilera, Ó. Romero, A. Aguayo, A. Fariña, B. Ayala, F. Cáceres, J. Sanguina, P. Delvalle, T. Portillo, Marcelo González

November 6, 2025 · Copa Paraguay

2 de Mayo – Club GuaraniSeptember 13, 2025 · Division Profesional - Clausura1-0

Club Guarani – 2 de MayoJuly 7, 2025 · Division Profesional - Clausura3-1

Club Guarani – 2 de MayoApril 17, 2025 · Division Profesional - Apertura0-1

Club Guarani – 2 de MayoMarch 7, 2025 · CONMEBOL Sudamericana2-0

2 de Mayo – Club GuaraniFebruary 3, 2025 · Division Profesional - Apertura0-2

2 de Mayo – Club GuaraniOctober 21, 2024 · Division Profesional - Clausura1-2

Club Guarani – 2 de MayoAugust 11, 2024 · Division Profesional - Clausura0-0

Club Guarani – 2 de MayoJune 5, 2024 · Division Profesional - Apertura3-2

2 de Mayo – Club GuaraniApril 1, 2024 · Division Profesional - Apertura0-1

Miguel JacquetOff: T. Servín

69'⇄F. CáceresOff: Tobias Cervera

74'⇄J. LlanoOff: Fernando Fernandez

80'⇄Marcelo GonzalezOff: Rodrigo Antonio Gómez Villalba

80'⇄Jorge SanguinaOff: Alan Gómez

86'⇄Juan Manuel GarcíaOff: Jorge Recalde

86'⇄R. RodríguezOff: Maximiliano Nahuel Añasco Dornells

Statistics

53%Possession47%

0.74Expected goals0.58

14Total shots10

4Shots on target2

4Corners6

10Fouls12

2Offsides3

1Yellow cards5

0Red cards0

2Saves3

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%51

Club Guarani win%51

Both score%49

Over 2.5%46

Draw%27

2 de Mayo win%22

Why?

Club Guarani · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10

Club Guarani: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
2 de Mayo: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.
Club Guarani scored 1.1 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.
2 de Mayo scored 1.4 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Club Guarani: 10 games · 2 de Mayo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.52.7

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %728/10

3/10Over 2.5league %506/10

1/10Over 3.5league %202/10

1/10Over 4.5league %101/10

6/10Both scoreleague %525/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

Club Guarani: 10 games · 2 de Mayo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)0.8

0.7Goals conceded (avg)1.7

1.9Total goals per gameleague 2.52.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

7/10Over 1.5league %728/10

1/10Over 2.5league %505/10

1/10Over 3.5league %202/10

0/10Over 4.5league %100/10

4/10Both scoreleague %523/10

5/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score5/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%35 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Club Guarani win 352, 395 end level and 2 de Mayo win 254. The actual result comes up 352 times in 1000.

0.74 – 0.58 The score the chances deserved (xG): Club Guarani 0.74 – 0.58 2 de Mayo.

7.8

Man of the match: V. Céspedes (Club Guarani), rated 7.8.

%51 Our model's pre-match chance of a Club Guarani win.

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Corners
Cards
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When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 13 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Club Guarani's ground

Last 13 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Club Guarani · Division Profesional - Clausura

2 de Mayo · Division Profesional - Clausura

Club Guarani · All games

2 de Mayo · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match