Wofoo Tai Po – BG Pathum United: probabilities, statistics and live score

Wofoo Tai PoPremier League · #4

0-3Thursday, October 29

BG Pathum UnitedPremier League · #9

Match events

Wofoo Tai PoBG Pathum United

11'Weverton Rangel Ribeiro
27'⚽Anthony BelmonteAssist: Waris Chuthong
32'⚽Hugo Rama
42'⚽Ratthasat BuabanAssist: Chanathip Songkrasin
45'⇄Patrik GustavssonOff: Ratthasat Buaban
50'Yefferson Quintana

Chances to win

Wofoo Tai Po%16

Draw%22

BG Pathum United%63

At a glance

Over 1.5

%56Over 2.5

%51Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Wofoo Tai PoW4-2W4-2L0-1D1-1W3-1

BG Pathum UnitedW2-0L0-1D1-1L1-2D

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Wofoo Tai Po · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

BG Pathum United · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Wofoo Tai Po · last 1 at home3.0 corners, 1.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners0/1Over 4.5 corners0/1Over 5.5 corners0/1Over 0.5 cards1/1Over 1.5 cards0/1

BG Pathum United · last 3 away2.0 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners1/3Over 4.5 corners

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is BG Pathum United win.

%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%56

Both score%51

Not both score%49

Under 2.5%44

Draw%22

Wofoo Tai Po win%16

Why?

BG Pathum United won 2 of their last 10 away matches.
Wofoo Tai Po scored 2.4 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.
BG Pathum United scored 0.9 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Wofoo Tai Po: 10 games · BG Pathum United: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.3Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.6Goals conceded (avg)0.7

3.9Total goals per gameleague 2.41.8

10/10Over 0.5league %888/10

9/10Over 1.5league %696/10

8/10Over 2.5league %432/10

5/10Over 3.5league %181/10

5/10Over 4.5league %141/10

7/10Both scoreleague %434/10

1/10Clean sheets5/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

Wofoo Tai Po: 10 games · BG Pathum United: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.1

3.8Total goals per gameleague 2.42.5

10/10Over 0.5league %889/10

9/10Over 1.5league %698/10

8/10Over 2.5league %434/10

5/10Over 3.5league %182/10

4/10Over 4.5league %142/10

7/10Both scoreleague %436/10

0/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

0.28 – 1.60 The score the chances deserved (xG): Wofoo Tai Po 0.28 – 1.60 BG Pathum United.

%71 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Wofoo Tai Po win 61, 229 end level and BG Pathum United win 710. The actual result comes up 710 times in 1000.

0 – 6 Shots on target: Wofoo Tai Po 0 – 6 BG Pathum United.

8.2

Man of the match: Hugo Rama (BG Pathum United), rated 8.2.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Wofoo Tai Po · AFC Champions League Two

BG Pathum United · AFC Champions League Two

Wofoo Tai Po · All games

BG Pathum United · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match