Karbala – Al Talaba: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Iraqi League · Iraq · Matchday 12

KarbalaIraqi League · #20

2-2Friday, October 30

Al TalabaIraqi League · #11

Match events

KarbalaAl Talaba

25'⚽K. Al MukhtarPenalty
35'✕Missed penalty
38'⚽K. Al MukhtarPenalty
45'⚽A. Khaled
56'⚽M. Aws
74'A. Karim
74'

Chances to win

Karbala%22

Draw%27

Al Talaba%50

At a glance

Over 1.5

%46Over 2.5

%49Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%51

Al Talaba win%50

Both score%49

Over 2.5%46

Draw%27

Karbala win%22

Why?

Karbala: 2 or fewer goals in 2 of their last 5 home matches.

Last 5 matches

KarbalaL2-5L1-2D0-0L0-3L1-2

Al TalabaW1-0W1-0D0-0D2-2L0-2

Last 6 meetings

1Karbala won

2Draw

3Al Talaba won

1.5
Goals per game1/6
Over 2.51/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Karbala · last 5 at home0/5games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).4/5games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/5games led at half-time.

Al Talaba · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Karbala – Al TalabaMarch 17, 2023 · Iraqi League3-1

Al Talaba – KarbalaOctober 14, 2022 · Iraqi League1-0

Al Talaba: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Karbala scored 1.0 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 5 home matches.

Al Talaba scored 1.3 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Al Talaba · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Karbala: 6 games · Al Talaba: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.22.6

6/6Over 0.5league %859/10

5/6Over 1.5league %677/10

4/6Over 2.5league %355/10

2/6Over 3.5league %163/10

1/6Over 4.5league %91/10

4/6Both scoreleague %436/10

1/6Clean sheets3/10

1/6Failed to score2/10

Karbala: 10 games · Al Talaba: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.0

2.2Goals conceded (avg)0.8

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.21.8

9/10Over 0.5league %857/10

8/10Over 1.5league %674/10

7/10Over 2.5league %353/10

3/10Over 3.5league %163/10

2/10Over 4.5league %91/10

5/10Both scoreleague %433/10

2/10Clean sheets6/10

4/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Karbala · Iraqi League

Al Talaba · Iraqi League

Karbala · All games

Al Talaba · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Karbala's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match