Al-Karma – Duhok: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Iraqi League · Iraq · Matchday 12

Al-KarmaIraqi League · #1

1-0Friday, October 30

DuhokIraqi League · #9

Match events

Al-KarmaDuhok

90+1'⚽M. Hamdi

Chances to win

Al-Karma%51

Draw%27

Duhok%22

At a glance

Over 1.5

%47Over 2.5

%50Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%53Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Al-Karma win%51

Not both score%50

Both score%50

Over 2.5%47

Draw%27

Duhok win%22

Why?

Al-Karma: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Al-KarmaL1-2D0-0W3-2W1-0W2-1

DuhokW5-2L0-2W3-0D1-1L2-3

Last 4 meetings

3Al-Karma won

0Draw

1Duhok won

2.3
Goals per game2/4
Over 2.51/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Al-Karma · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Duhok · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Duhok: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Al-Karma scored 1.7 and conceded 0.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Duhok scored 1.2 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Al-Karma · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Duhok · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Al-Karma: 10 games · Duhok: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.0

0.5Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.22.5

10/10Over 0.5league %859/10

6/10Over 1.5league %677/10

4/10Over 2.5league %353/10

1/10Over 3.5league %163/10

1/10Over 4.5league %92/10

3/10Both scoreleague %436/10

6/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

Al-Karma: 10 games · Duhok: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.5

0.7Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.22.7

9/10Over 0.5league %859/10

7/10Over 1.5league %678/10

5/10Over 2.5league %354/10

1/10Over 3.5league %162/10

1/10Over 4.5league %92/10

5/10Both scoreleague %436/10

5/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

90+1'

M. Hamdi decided it in minute 90.

%51 Our model's pre-match chance of a Al-Karma win.

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Al-Karma · Iraqi League

Duhok · Iraqi League

Al-Karma · All games

Duhok · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Al-Karma's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match