Villarreal III – SC Torrevieja: probabilities, statistics and live score

Villarreal IIITercera: Group 6 · #1

2-1Saturday, October 31

SC TorreviejaTercera: Group 6 · #13

Match events

Villarreal IIISC Torrevieja

11'⚽J. AliagaPenalty
56'Red card
85'⚽A. Kaares
90+1'⚽S. Ndiaye

Chances to win

Villarreal III%64

Draw%22

SC Torrevieja%14

At a glance

Over 1.5

%55Over 2.5

%49Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Villarreal IIIW1-0W1-0W3-1W2-1L0-2

SC TorreviejaD0-0L1-4D2-2L0-2W

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Villarreal III · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).7/10games led at half-time.Won 6 of the 7 games it led at half-time.

SC Torrevieja · last 4 away0/4games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).1/4games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/4games led at half-time.

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Villarreal III win.

%64Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%55

Not both score%51

Both score%49

Under 2.5%45

Draw%22

SC Torrevieja win%14

Why?

Villarreal III · last 10 at home: 6 wins6/10

Villarreal III won 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Villarreal III scored 1.5 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.
SC Torrevieja scored 0.8 and conceded 2.3 per game in their last 4 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Villarreal III: 10 games · SC Torrevieja: 5 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.0Goals conceded (avg)2.2

2.6Total goals per gameleague 2.33.0

10/10Over 0.5league %915/5

8/10Over 1.5league %745/5

6/10Over 2.5league %433/5

2/10Over 3.5league %191/5

0/10Over 4.5league %61/5

5/10Both scoreleague %533/5

4/10Clean sheets0/5

1/10Failed to score2/5

Villarreal III: 10 games · SC Torrevieja: 9 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)0.9

0.7Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.32.6

10/10Over 0.5league %918/9

7/10Over 1.5league %748/9

6/10Over 2.5league %434/9

1/10Over 3.5league %192/9

0/10Over 4.5league %61/9

5/10Both scoreleague %534/9

4/10Clean sheets2/9

1/10Failed to score4/9

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

90+1'

S. Ndiaye decided it in minute 90.

Villarreal III: win number 5 in a row.

%64 Our model's pre-match chance of a Villarreal III win.

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Missing players

Previous meetings

Villarreal III · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

SC Torrevieja · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

Villarreal III · All games

SC Torrevieja · All games

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match