Castro – Barquereño: probabilities, statistics and live score

CastroTercera: Group 3 · #11

0-1Saturday, October 31

BarquereñoTercera: Group 3 · #13

Match events

CastroBarquereño

78'⚽Goal

Chances to win

Castro%51

Draw%25

Barquereño%24

At a glance

Over 1.5

%56Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

CastroL1-2W3-0L2-4L0-2L0-2

BarquereñoL1-3D2-2W1-0L0-3L

Last 6 meetings

3Castro won

2Draw

1Barquereño won

1.8
Goals per game3/6
Over 2.53/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Castro · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Barquereño · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%54

Castro win%51

Not both score%46

Under 2.5%44

Draw%25

Barquereño win%24

Why?

Castro · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Barquereño · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Castro: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.
Barquereño: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.
Castro scored 1.4 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Barquereño scored 0.9 and conceded 2.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Castro: 10 games · Barquereño: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.4Goals conceded (avg)2.0

2.6Total goals per gameleague 2.72.9

10/10Over 0.5league %9110/10

8/10Over 1.5league %789/10

4/10Over 2.5league %516/10

3/10Over 3.5league %293/10

1/10Over 4.5league %141/10

3/10Both scoreleague %465/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

5/10Failed to score4/10

Castro: 10 games · Barquereño: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.5Goals conceded (avg)2.1

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.72.9

9/10Over 0.5league %9110/10

8/10Over 1.5league %787/10

4/10Over 2.5league %516/10

2/10Over 3.5league %294/10

1/10Over 4.5league %141/10

3/10Both scoreleague %464/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

5/10Failed to score4/10

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Missing players

This fixture at Castro's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Castro · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

Barquereño · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

Castro · All games

Barquereño · All games

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match