CSM Satu Mare – Viitorul Şelimbăr: probabilities, statistics and live score

CSM Satu MareLiga II · #18

2-0Saturday, October 31

Viitorul ŞelimbărLiga II · #19

Match events

CSM Satu MareViitorul Şelimbăr

39'
42'⚽K. VidaPenalty
44'
44'
56'
69'⚽P. Copaci
75'

Chances to win

CSM Satu Mare%46

Draw%27

Viitorul Şelimbăr%26

At a glance

Over 1.5

%49Over 2.5

%53Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

CSM Satu MareL2-3D0-0D2-2L0-2D1-1

Viitorul ŞelimbărW1-0L0-5L0-1L1-2L

Last 2 meetings

1CSM Satu Mare won

1Draw

0Viitorul Şelimbăr won

3.0
Goals per game1/2
Over 2.51/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

CSM Satu Mare · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Viitorul Şelimbăr · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%51Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%53

Over 2.5%49

Not both score%47

CSM Satu Mare win%46

Draw%27

Viitorul Şelimbăr win%26

Why?

CSM Satu Mare · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10

CSM Satu Mare: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
Viitorul Şelimbăr: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.
CSM Satu Mare scored 1.2 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Viitorul Şelimbăr scored 0.7 and conceded 2.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

CSM Satu Mare: 10 games · Viitorul Şelimbăr: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)0.7

0.8Goals conceded (avg)2.3

2.1Total goals per gameleague 2.93.0

8/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %799/10

2/10Over 2.5league %566/10

2/10Over 3.5league %344/10

1/10Over 4.5league %161/10

3/10Both scoreleague %534/10

5/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score4/10

CSM Satu Mare: 10 games · Viitorul Şelimbăr: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)0.6

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.9

2.0Total goals per gameleague 2.92.5

8/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

7/10Over 1.5league %797/10

2/10Over 2.5league %564/10

2/10Over 3.5league %343/10

1/10Over 4.5league %161/10

4/10Both scoreleague %534/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

5/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

CSM Satu Mare: a 14-match wait for a win is over.

%46 Our model's pre-match chance of a CSM Satu Mare win.

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Missing players

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

CSM Satu Mare · Liga II

Viitorul Şelimbăr · Liga II

CSM Satu Mare · All games

Viitorul Şelimbăr · All games

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match