Al-Nassr – Al Kholood: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Pro League · Saudi Arabia · Matchday 12

Al-NassrSaudi Professional League · #2

5-3Thursday, October 29

Al KholoodSaudi Professional League · #11

Match events

Al-NassrAl Kholood

12'VARCristiano RonaldoGoal cancelled
14'John Buckley
16'⚽Julien DominguesAssist: Abdulrahman Al-Dosari
20'Angelo Borges
24'⚽Angelo BorgesAssist: Joao Felix
38'⚽Sadio ManéAssist: Joao Felix

Chances to win

Al-Nassr%74

Draw%16

Al Kholood%11

At a glance

Over 1.5

%66Over 2.5

%52Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Al-Nassr win.

%74Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%66

Both score%52

Not both score%48

Under 2.5%34

Draw%16

Al Kholood win%11

Why?

Al-Nassr won 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Al-NassrW3-1W1-0W3-1W3-0L0-4

Al KholoodL0-3L2-3L0-5L0-2W2-1

Last 4 meetings

3Al-Nassr won

1Draw

0Al Kholood won

3.8
Goals per game3/4
Over 2.52/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Al-Nassr · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Al Kholood · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Al-Nassr · last 9 at home6.3 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/9Over 4.5 corners7/9Over 5.5 corners5/9Over 0.5 cards

Al Kholood · last 9 away4.0 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/9Over 4.5 corners3/9Over 5.5 corners3/9Over 0.5 cards9/9Over 1.5 cards5/9

39Abdulrahman Al Dosari

Bench

Mohammed Mazyad Alshammari, Muhannad Al Yahya, Yazan Madani, O. Abdulghani, Abdulrahman Al Obaid, Mohammed Al Rashidi, Muhammad Sawan, Yaseen Al Zubaidi, Guga

Antoine Loic Essomba BikoulaAssist: Julien Domingues

54'⇄Abdulrahman Obaid Al-ObaidOff: Shaquille Pinas

66'⚽Cristiano RonaldoAssist: Joao Felix

67'⇄Mohammed SawaanOff: Antoine Loic Essomba Bikoula

72'⚽Cristiano RonaldoAssist: Joao Felix

74'⇄Abdulrahman GhareebOff: Abdullah Al-Hamdan

78'⇄Mohammed Al RashidiOff: Coba Gomes da Costa

78'⇄Yaseen Al-ZubaidiOff: Abdulrahman Al-Dosari

78'⇄Gustavo Gouveia Rodrigues CruzOff: Iker Kortajarena Canellada

81'⇄Awad AmanOff: Ayman Yahya

81'⇄Sami Al-NajeiOff: Angelo Borges

81'⇄Rakan Al GhamdiOff: Abdullah Al-Khaibari

81'⚽Cristiano RonaldoAssist: Sadio Mané

83'⇄Saad Fahad Al NasserOff: Nawaf Boushal

90+2'VARMohammed SawaanPenalty confirmed

90+4'⚽Julien DominguesPenalty

Statistics

54%Possession46%

3.7Expected goals2.07

16Total shots7

9Shots on target5

6Corners0

18Fouls10

2Offsides1

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

2Saves3

Al-Nassr scored 2.1 and conceded 0.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Al Kholood scored 1.3 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Al-Nassr · last 10 at home: 8 wins8/10

Al-Nassr: 10 games · Al Kholood: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.4Goals scored (avg)1.6

0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.8

3.3Total goals per gameleague 3.03.4

10/10Over 0.5league %909/10

8/10Over 1.5league %779/10

7/10Over 2.5league %576/10

3/10Over 3.5league %394/10

2/10Over 4.5league %263/10

6/10Both scoreleague %546/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

Al-Nassr: 10 games · Al Kholood: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.4Goals conceded (avg)2.5

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.04.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9010/10

9/10Over 1.5league %7710/10

8/10Over 2.5league %578/10

4/10Over 3.5league %396/10

1/10Over 4.5league %264/10

7/10Both scoreleague %547/10

2/10Clean sheets0/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Al-Nassr: win number 5 in a row.

%68 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Al-Nassr win 678, 137 end level and Al Kholood win 184. The actual result comes up 678 times in 1000.

3.70 – 2.07 The score the chances deserved (xG): Al-Nassr 3.70 – 2.07 Al Kholood.

16 – 7 Shots: Al-Nassr 16 – 7 Al Kholood.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Al-Nassr · Pro League

Al Kholood · Pro League

Al-Nassr · All games

Al Kholood · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Al-Nassr's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match