Fafe – Pacos Ferreira: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Liga 3 · Portugal · Matchday 8

FafeLiga 3 · #3

3-1Friday, October 30

Pacos FerreiraLiga 3 · #8

Match events

FafePacos Ferreira

26'⚽F. CardosoAssist: Breno
32'⚽PicasAssist: J. Amaral
46'⇄VitinhoOff: Platiny
46'⇄VitinhoOff: N. Cunha
46'⇄Joao NetoOff: T. Podstawski
46'⇄Caio RafaelOff: D. Castro

Chances to win

Fafe%48

Draw%28

Pacos Ferreira%24

At a glance

Over 1.5

%44Over 2.5

%49Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%51

Both score%49

Fafe win%48

Over 2.5%44

Draw%28

Pacos Ferreira win%24

Why?

Fafe: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

FafeD0-0L0-1D2-2W4-0L1-2

Pacos FerreiraW1-0W1-0D1-1D2-2D0-0

Last 2 meetings

0Fafe won

2Draw

0Pacos Ferreira won

1.0
Goals per game0/2
Over 2.51/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Fafe · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Pacos Ferreira · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Pacos Ferreira · last 3 away2.7 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners0/3Over 4.5 corners0/3Over 5.5 corners0/3Over 0.5 cards3/3Over 1.5 cards3/3

Model chances

VitinhoAssist: M. Fale

68'⇄K. AsamoahOff: J. Amaral

68'⇄Rafael MartinsOff: M. Correia

78'⇄P. OtumbaOff: D. Carvalho

82'⇄MimitoOff: P. Pereira

84'⇄T. CerveiraOff: L. Dias

Pacos Ferreira: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Fafe scored 1.6 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Pacos Ferreira scored 1.0 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Fafe · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Pacos Ferreira · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Fafe: 10 games · Pacos Ferreira: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.62.8

9/10Over 0.5league %909/10

8/10Over 1.5league %718/10

6/10Over 2.5league %535/10

4/10Over 3.5league %334/10

1/10Over 4.5league %132/10

7/10Both scoreleague %536/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

Fafe: 10 games · Pacos Ferreira: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.0

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.62.4

8/10Over 0.5league %909/10

7/10Over 1.5league %716/10

6/10Over 2.5league %535/10

4/10Over 3.5league %333/10

0/10Over 4.5league %131/10

5/10Both scoreleague %536/10

4/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Pacos Ferreira: a 5-match unbeaten run ended here.

%48 Our model's pre-match chance of a Fafe win.

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Model chances

Fafe · Liga 3

Pacos Ferreira · Liga 3

Fafe · All games

Pacos Ferreira · All games

Missing players

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match