BFC Preussen – FSV Zwickau: probabilities, statistics and live score

BFC PreussenRegionalliga: Nordost · #13

3-0Saturday, October 31

FSV ZwickauRegionalliga: Nordost · #11

Match events

BFC PreussenFSV Zwickau

9'⚽N. Frank
58'⚽L. Stein
84'⚽P. Fontein

Chances to win

BFC Preussen%23

Draw%22

FSV Zwickau%54

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

BFC PreussenL0-1L1-3D1-1L2-3D1-1

FSV ZwickauL0-3D2-2W2-0D1-1L

Last 2 meetings

1BFC Preussen won

0Draw

1FSV Zwickau won

3.0
Goals per game1/2
Over 2.51/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

BFC Preussen · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

FSV Zwickau · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%59

FSV Zwickau win%54

Not both score%41

Under 2.5%40

BFC Preussen win%23

Draw%22

Why?

BFC Preussen · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

FSV Zwickau · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

BFC Preussen: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
FSV Zwickau: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.
BFC Preussen scored 1.8 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.
FSV Zwickau scored 1.5 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

BFC Preussen: 10 games · FSV Zwickau: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.12.9

10/10Over 0.5league %969/10

10/10Over 1.5league %838/10

6/10Over 2.5league %617/10

3/10Over 3.5league %404/10

2/10Over 4.5league %191/10

9/10Both scoreleague %627/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

BFC Preussen: 10 games · FSV Zwickau: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.12.9

10/10Over 0.5league %9610/10

9/10Over 1.5league %839/10

4/10Over 2.5league %617/10

3/10Over 3.5league %403/10

2/10Over 4.5league %190/10

6/10Both scoreleague %626/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

BFC Preussen: a 5-match wait for a win is over.

%23 Our model's pre-match chance of a BFC Preussen win.

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Missing players

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

BFC Preussen · Regionalliga - Nordost

FSV Zwickau · Regionalliga - Nordost

BFC Preussen · All games

FSV Zwickau · All games

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match