Manisa F.K. – Batman Petrolspor: probabilities, statistics and live score

Manisa F.K.Lig A · #16

2-1Saturday, October 31

Batman PetrolsporLig A · #4

Match events

Manisa F.K.Batman Petrolspor

6'VARPedrinhoOriginal decision changed
16'⚽Pedrinho
18'Pedrinho
34'⚽Cheikne Sylla
63'⚽Cheikne Sylla
64'⇄David Kaiki Flores da SilvaOff: Bernardo Sousa
64'

Chances to win

Manisa F.K.%31

Draw%25

Batman Petrolspor%44

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%63Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Manisa F.K.L1-2L3-4D1-1L2-3L0-1

Batman PetrolsporW3-2D2-2W4-2L1-2L

Last 4 meetings

2Manisa F.K. won

1Draw

1Batman Petrolspor won

2.8
Goals per game3/4
Over 2.54/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Manisa F.K. · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Batman Petrolspor · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Manisa F.K. · last 10 at home4.2 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%63

Batman Petrolspor win%44

Under 2.5%40

Not both score%37

Manisa F.K. win%31

Draw%25

Why?

Batman Petrolspor · last 10 away: 3+ goals 9 times9/10

Manisa F.K.: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.
Batman Petrolspor: 3+ goals in 9 of their last 10 away matches.
Manisa F.K. scored 1.7 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Batman Petrolspor scored 2.3 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Manisa F.K.: 10 games · Batman Petrolspor: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.9

2.9Total goals per gameleague 2.83.7

9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

7/10Over 1.5league %8110/10

5/10Over 2.5league %519/10

3/10Over 3.5league %275/10

3/10Over 4.5league %142/10

5/10Both scoreleague %548/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

Manisa F.K.: 10 games · Batman Petrolspor: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)2.0

1.9Goals conceded (avg)2.0

3.2Total goals per gameleague 2.84.0

9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

8/10Over 1.5league %8110/10

6/10Over 2.5league %519/10

3/10Over 3.5league %275/10

3/10Over 4.5league %143/10

8/10Both scoreleague %548/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Manisa F.K.: a 10-match wait for a win is over.

%31 Our model's pre-match chance of a Manisa F.K. win.

%60 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Manisa F.K. win 597, 178 end level and Batman Petrolspor win 225. The actual result comes up 597 times in 1000.

9.2

Man of the match: C. Sylla (Manisa F.K.), rated 9.2.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Manisa F.K.'s ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Manisa F.K. · 1. Lig

Batman Petrolspor · 1. Lig

Manisa F.K. · All games

Batman Petrolspor · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match