Bandırmaspor – Sivasspor: probabilities, statistics and live score

BandırmasporLig A · #13

1-1Tuesday, October 13

SivassporLig A · #17

Match events

BandırmasporSivasspor

13'Ebrima Ceesay
62'⇄Burak KapacakOff: Ebrima Ceesay
62'⇄Cihat CelikOff: Salih Kavrazlı
64'⇄Ali UlgenOff: Hakan Bilgiç
64'⇄Muhammed GümüşkayaOff: Enes Cinemre
66'⚽Cihat CelikAssist: Valon Ethemi

Chances to win

Bandırmaspor%46

Draw%27

Sivasspor%27

At a glance

Over 1.5

%50Over 2.5

%53Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

BandırmasporW2-0L0-1D1-1W6-0L0-1

SivassporW4-1D1-1D1-1W2-1D

Last 2 meetings

1Bandırmaspor won

0Draw

1Sivasspor won

1.5
Goals per game0/2
Over 2.50/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Bandırmaspor · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Sivasspor · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Bandırmaspor · last 10 at home3.9 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%53Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Under 2.5%50

Over 2.5%50

Not both score%47

Bandırmaspor win%46

Draw%27

Sivasspor win%27

Why?

Sivasspor · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

Bandırmaspor: both sides scored in 1 of their last 10 home matches.
Sivasspor: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
Bandırmaspor scored 1.4 and conceded 0.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Sivasspor scored 1.1 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Bandırmaspor: 10 games · Sivasspor: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)0.9

0.6Goals conceded (avg)1.6

2.1Total goals per gameleague 2.82.5

9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

6/10Over 1.5league %818/10

3/10Over 2.5league %515/10

1/10Over 3.5league %272/10

1/10Over 4.5league %140/10

3/10Both scoreleague %546/10

5/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

Bandırmaspor: 10 games · Sivasspor: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.6

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.83.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

8/10Over 1.5league %8110/10

4/10Over 2.5league %516/10

1/10Over 3.5league %274/10

1/10Over 4.5league %141/10

5/10Both scoreleague %549/10

2/10Clean sheets0/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%16 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Bandırmaspor win 801, 158 end level and Sivasspor win 41. The actual result comes up 158 times in 1000.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

2.09 – 0.29 The score the chances deserved (xG): Bandırmaspor 2.09 – 0.29 Sivasspor.

20 – 4 Shots: Bandırmaspor 20 – 4 Sivasspor.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Bandırmaspor · 1. Lig

Sivasspor · 1. Lig

Bandırmaspor · All games

Sivasspor · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match