Gençlerbirliği S.K. – Amed: probabilities, statistics and live score

Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig · #16

2-2Saturday, October 10

AmedSüper Lig · #2

Match events

Gençlerbirliği S.K.Amed

15'Thalisson Kelven
23'I. Egribayat
25'⚽D. SabaPenalty
46'⇄S. UcanOff: A. Dursun
53'U. Meras
54'⚽R. Luis
57'

Chances to win

Gençlerbirliği S.K.%29

Draw%27

Amed%44

At a glance

Over 1.5

%53Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Gençlerbirliği S.K.L0-4L1-2L0-5D1-1W1-0

AmedW3-2W5-0D2-2W2-1L

Last 2 meetings

0Gençlerbirliği S.K. won

2Draw

0Amed won

2.0
Goals per game0/2
Over 2.52/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Amed · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. · last 10 at home3.6 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners

Amed · 4-2-3-1

40Alban Lafont

4David Robert Bates

5Lumbardh Dellova

7Ermal Krasniqi

17Umut Meraş

8Furkan Soyalp

10Samuel Ballet

22Rayan Raveloson

74Mohamed Khalil

91Dia Saba

99Gift Orban

Bench

Burak Bozan, Miraç Acer, Mehmet Yeşil, Kahraman Demirtaş, Ali Turap Bülbül, Cem Üstündag, Rayan Lutin, Berk Kızıldemir, Mbaye Diagne

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%53

Under 2.5%47

Amed win%44

Not both score%43

Gençlerbirliği S.K. win%29

Draw%27

Why?

Gençlerbirliği S.K. · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

Amed · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

Gençlerbirliği S.K.: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Amed: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. scored 1.0 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Amed scored 1.8 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Gençlerbirliği S.K.: 10 games · Amed: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.93.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

8/10Over 1.5league %7710/10

7/10Over 2.5league %597/10

3/10Over 3.5league %315/10

2/10Over 4.5league %151/10

7/10Both scoreleague %466/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

Gençlerbirliği S.K.: 10 games · Amed: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)2.3

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.93.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

8/10Over 1.5league %779/10

6/10Over 2.5league %598/10

4/10Over 3.5league %315/10

2/10Over 4.5league %153/10

4/10Both scoreleague %466/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

4/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%17 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Gençlerbirliği S.K. win 44, 173 end level and Amed win 782. The actual result comes up 173 times in 1000.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

0.28 – 1.96 The score the chances deserved (xG): Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0.28 – 1.96 Amed.

6 – 17 Shots: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 6 – 17 Amed.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Süper Lig

Amed · Süper Lig

Gençlerbirliği S.K. · All games

Amed · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match