Nizhny Novgorod – Arsenal Tula: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·First League · Russia · Matchday 16

Nizhny NovgorodRegular Season · #1

4-0Friday, October 30

Arsenal TulaRegular Season · #11

Match events

Nizhny NovgorodArsenal Tula

19'⚽Artem Sokolov
23'⚽Gleb Popolitov
31'Daniil Plotnikov
46'⇄Timur MelekestsevOff: Artem Biryukov
46'⇄Edarlyn ReyesOff: Daniil Plotnikov
66'⇄Vladimir IgnatenkoOff: Vyacheslav Grulev
66'

Chances to win

Nizhny Novgorod%69

Draw%19

Arsenal Tula%12

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%50Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Nizhny Novgorod win.

%69Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%60

Both score%50

Not both score%50

Under 2.5%40

Draw%19

Arsenal Tula win%12

Why?

Nizhny Novgorod won 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Nizhny NovgorodW1-0W2-1W4-0W5-0W6-0

Arsenal TulaW4-3L0-2W3-2L1-3D2-2

Last 4 meetings

1Nizhny Novgorod won

1Draw

2Arsenal Tula won

3.5
Goals per game3/4
Over 2.53/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Nizhny Novgorod · last 10 at home7/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).9/10games led at half-time.Won 7 of the 9 games it led at half-time.

Arsenal Tula · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Nizhny Novgorod · last 3 at home6.3 corners, 1.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/3Over 4.5 corners2/3Over 5.5 corners2/3Over 0.5 cards3/3Over 1.5 cards0/3

Arsenal Tula · last 4 away5.0 corners, 4.0 cards a game

Bench

M. Levashov, Y. Krashevskiy, K. Bolshakov, O. Isaenko, D. Davidyan, I. Zhigulev, N. Razdorskikh, I. Enin, E. Reyes, N. Glushkov, G. Uridia, T. Melekestsev

Mamadou MaigaOff: Nikita Ermakov

68'⇄Kirill BolshakovOff: Aleksandr Alekhin

72'⚽Vladislav SarveliPenalty

73'⇄Georgiy UridiaOff: Rashid Magomedov

75'⇄Timofey KomissarovOff: Gleb Popolitov

75'⇄Ivan BoberOff: Vladislav Sarveli

77'⚽Vladimir Ignatenko

79'⇄Ilya ZhigulevOff: Igor Gorbunov

80'⇄Valeriy TsarukyanOff: Artem Sokolov

Statistics

64%Possession36%

12Total shots4

9Shots on target4

4Corners1

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Nizhny Novgorod scored 3.5 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Arsenal Tula scored 0.4 and conceded 2.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Nizhny Novgorod · last 10 at home: 7 wins7/10

Arsenal Tula · last 10 away: 7 defeats7/10

Nizhny Novgorod: 10 games · Arsenal Tula: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

3.8Goals scored (avg)0.3

0.9Goals conceded (avg)2.3

4.7Total goals per gameleague 2.72.6

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

10/10Over 1.5league %767/10

10/10Over 2.5league %545/10

8/10Over 3.5league %304/10

5/10Over 4.5league %121/10

5/10Both scoreleague %542/10

5/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score8/10

Nizhny Novgorod: 10 games · Arsenal Tula: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.9Goals scored (avg)1.2

0.5Goals conceded (avg)2.4

3.4Total goals per gameleague 2.73.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %769/10

8/10Over 2.5league %547/10

5/10Over 3.5league %306/10

2/10Over 4.5league %122/10

4/10Both scoreleague %545/10

6/10Clean sheets0/10

0/10Failed to score5/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Nizhny Novgorod: win number 9 in a row.

12 – 4 Shots: Nizhny Novgorod 12 – 4 Arsenal Tula.

9 – 4 Shots on target: Nizhny Novgorod 9 – 4 Arsenal Tula.

%69 Our model's pre-match chance of a Nizhny Novgorod win.

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Nizhny Novgorod · First League

Arsenal Tula · First League

Nizhny Novgorod · All games

Arsenal Tula · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Nizhny Novgorod's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match