AVS – Tondela: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Segunda Liga · Portugal · Matchday 8

AVSDivision2 · #7

2-1Sunday, October 25

TondelaDivision2 · #8

Match events

AVSTondela

4'Mateus Ferreira
5'⚽Hiago Souza Lima Santos
6'Fernando Almeida
15'Carraça
18'Hiago Souza Lima Santos
27'Guilherme Neiva
36'

Chances to win

AVS%28

Draw%28

Tondela%44

At a glance

Over 1.5

%45Over 2.5

%51Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%51

Not both score%49

Over 2.5%45

Tondela win%44

Draw%28

AVS win%28

Why?

AVS: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

AVSW1-0W2-1W2-0D0-0L1-2

TondelaD0-0W1-0W5-1W2-0W3-0

Last 4 meetings

0AVS won

2Draw

2Tondela won

2.5
Goals per game2/4
Over 2.52/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

AVS · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Tondela · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

AVS · last 6 at home4.7 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/6Over 4.5 corners3/6Over 5.5 corners2/6Over 0.5 cards6/6

Tondela · last 6 away3.3 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners2/6Over 4.5 corners2/6Over 5.5 corners1/6Over 0.5 cards6/6Over 1.5 cards4/6

Bench

Lucas Cañizares, João Afonso, G. Ramalho, B. Almeida, Tiago Dias, Bebeto, S. Sithole, Xabi Huarte, João Lima, H. Addo, G. Novero

46'⇄Tiago DiasOff: Hugo Félix

46'⇄BebetoOff: Carraça

56'Leonardo Daniel Rivas

68'⇄Pedro PimentelOff: Fernando Almeida

69'⇄Regis NdoOff: Rafael Lobato

69'⇄Sphephelo SitholeOff: Hélder Tavares

76'⇄André SousaOff: Leonardo Daniel Rivas

76'⇄Diogo BrasidoOff: Guilherme Neiva

76'⇄Jorge MeirelesOff: Mateus Pivô

76'⇄Henry AddoOff: Arjen Van Der Heide

76'⇄Joao Marcos Lima CandidoOff: Mateus Ferreira

86'⚽Jorge Meireles

Statistics

34%Possession66%

10Total shots24

4Shots on target8

3Corners12

5Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Tondela: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

AVS scored 1.1 and conceded 0.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Tondela scored 1.3 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

AVS · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10

Tondela · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

AVS: 10 games · Tondela: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.2

0.6Goals conceded (avg)1.8

1.6Total goals per gameleague 2.43.0

8/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

5/10Over 1.5league %718/10

2/10Over 2.5league %475/10

1/10Over 3.5league %214/10

0/10Over 4.5league %62/10

4/10Both scoreleague %444/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score4/10

AVS: 10 games · Tondela: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.4

0.8Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.1Total goals per gameleague 2.42.3

9/10Over 0.5league %939/10

7/10Over 1.5league %717/10

4/10Over 2.5league %474/10

1/10Over 3.5league %211/10

0/10Over 4.5league %61/10

5/10Both scoreleague %443/10

4/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Tondela: a 5-match unbeaten run ended here.

%28 Our model's pre-match chance of a AVS win.

10 – 24 Shots: AVS 10 – 24 Tondela.

3 – 12 Corners: AVS 3 – 12 Tondela.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

AVS · Segunda Liga

Tondela · Segunda Liga

AVS · All games

Tondela · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at AVS's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match