1. FC Heidenheim – 1. FC Kaiserslautern: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·2. Bundesliga · Germany · Matchday 7

1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga · #6

0-0Friday, October 9

1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga · #3

Match events

1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Kaiserslautern

45'⇄Budu ZivzivadzeOff: Mikkel Kaufmann
59'⇄Alex MurphyOff: Maxwell Gyamfi
64'⇄Alessandro VogtOff: Christian Conteh
64'⇄Thierry Fidjeu TazemetaOff: Mergim Berisha
64'⇄Ibrahim KanateOff: Marlon Ritter
80'⇄Leon Reid Robinson

Chances to win

1. FC Heidenheim%51

Draw%24

1. FC Kaiserslautern%25

At a glance

Over 1.5

%62Over 2.5

%63Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%63

1. FC Heidenheim win%51

Under 2.5%38

Not both score%37

1. FC Kaiserslautern win%25

Draw%24

Why?

1. FC Heidenheim: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

1. FC HeidenheimD2-2W1-0W1-0W5-3L2-5

1. FC KaiserslauternW1-0L0-3W3-0W2-1D0-0

Last 2 meetings

01. FC Heidenheim won

2Draw

01. FC Kaiserslautern won

4.0
Goals per game2/2
Over 2.52/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

1. FC Heidenheim · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

1. FC Kaiserslautern · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

1. FC Heidenheim · last 10 at home5.0 corners, 1.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

1. FC Kaiserslautern · last 10 away4.1 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

Y. Onohiol, S. Asta, A. Murphy, M. Sauer, Leon Robinson, T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta, I. Kanate, E. Yardımcı, M. Luković

Off: Jacob Rasmussen

80'⇄Erencan YardimciOff: Naatan Skyttä

80'⇄Yannik WagnerOff: Paul Hennrich

Statistics

54%Possession46%

0.86Expected goals1.38

13Total shots16

4Shots on target3

7Corners8

10Fouls11

0Offsides2

0Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

3Saves4

1. FC Kaiserslautern: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

1. FC Heidenheim scored 2.3 and conceded 2.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

1. FC Kaiserslautern scored 0.6 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

1. FC Heidenheim · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

1. FC Kaiserslautern · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

1. FC Heidenheim: 10 games · 1. FC Kaiserslautern: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)0.6

1.7Goals conceded (avg)0.8

3.8Total goals per gameleague 3.01.4

9/10Over 0.5league %947/10

8/10Over 1.5league %774/10

5/10Over 2.5league %563/10

5/10Over 3.5league %310/10

4/10Over 4.5league %150/10

6/10Both scoreleague %561/10

3/10Clean sheets6/10

2/10Failed to score6/10

1. FC Heidenheim: 10 games · 1. FC Kaiserslautern: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.1

2.1Goals conceded (avg)0.4

3.9Total goals per gameleague 3.01.5

9/10Over 0.5league %947/10

7/10Over 1.5league %775/10

6/10Over 2.5league %563/10

6/10Over 3.5league %310/10

4/10Over 4.5league %150/10

7/10Both scoreleague %561/10

3/10Clean sheets8/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%28 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), 1. FC Heidenheim win 234, 276 end level and 1. FC Kaiserslautern win 490. The actual result comes up 276 times in 1000.

%25 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

0.86 – 1.38 The score the chances deserved (xG): 1. FC Heidenheim 0.86 – 1.38 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

7.4

Man of the match: P. Mainka (1. FC Heidenheim), rated 7.4.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Kaiserslautern · 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim · All games

1. FC Kaiserslautern · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match