The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Vitória SC win.
%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Over 2.5%51
Not both score%51
Both score%49
Under 2.5%49
Draw%23
Maritimo win%17
Why?
Vitória SC won 4 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Vitória SCW1-0L0-2D1-1L1-2D0-0
MaritimoW2-1L1-2D1-1L1-3L0-3
Last 15 meetings
10Vitória SC won
3Draw
2Maritimo won
1.9 Goals per game6/15 Over 2.55/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Vitória SC · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.
Maritimo · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Vitória SC · last 10 at home5.3 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners
Referee
D. Rosa5.8 cards a match in 17 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Vitória SC · Primeira Liga
1W 2D 7LScored 5 · conceded 132.5 Üst 2/10KG 3/10
Maritimo · Primeira Liga
3W 2D 5LScored 12 · conceded 172.5 Üst 8/10KG 8/10
Vitória SC · All games
2W 2D 6LScored 6 · conceded 122.5 Üst 2/10KG 3/10
Maritimo · All games
3W 2D 5LScored 12 · conceded 182.5 Üst 8/10KG 8/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Vitória SC · 4-2-3-1
98Lucas Furtado
5A. Sidibé
13João Mendes
21T. Borevković
23T. Strata
7O. Camara
8Gonçalo Nogueira
11Gustavo
16Beni
20Samu
9A. Jakupovic
Bench
O. Zych, Miguel Maga, Óscar Rivas, Y. Mosquera, M. Mitrović, Alan, V. Andersson, L. Doucet, Miguel Nogueira, A. Ndoye, V. Ouotro
Maritimo · 4-2-3-1
30Fran Vieites
2
This fixture at Vitória SC's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 7
6Vitória SC won
1Draw
0Maritimo won
Vitória SC last won here on Nov 13, 2022: Vitória SC 1-0 Maritimo.Maritimo won none of the last 7 here.1.4 goals a game here · over 2.5 2/7 · BTTS 2/7
Last 15 meetings
10Vitória SC won
3Draw
2Maritimo won
1.9 Goals per game6/15 Over 2.55/15 Both score
Previous meetings
Maritimo – Vitória SCApril 29, 2023 · Primeira Liga1-2
Vitória SC – MaritimoNovember 13, 2022 · Primeira Liga1-0
Maritimo – Vitória SCMarch 13, 2022 · Primeira Liga0-1
Vitória SC – MaritimoOctober 22, 2021 · Primeira Liga2-1
3/10
Over 0.5 cards9/10
Over 1.5 cards6/10
Maritimo · last 8 away3.3 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners2/8Over 4.5 corners2/8Over 5.5 corners1/8Over 0.5 cards8/8Over 1.5 cards6/8
Gonçalo Tabuaço, Alfonso Pastor, N. Ogbeta, Rafael Fernandes, Nilton Varela, I. Alani, I. Ayuma, M. Diouri, M. Bassouamina, S. Bamba, B. Limbombe, Maurice Osei Boakye
Maritimo – Vitória SCMay 16, 2021 · Primeira Liga0-0
Vitória SC – MaritimoJanuary 31, 2021 · Primeira Liga1-0
Vitória SC – MaritimoJuly 19, 2020 · Primeira Liga1-0
Maritimo – Vitória SCJanuary 12, 2020 · Primeira Liga0-0
Vitória SC – MaritimoMarch 4, 2019 · Primeira Liga1-0
Maritimo – Vitória SCOctober 6, 2018 · Primeira Liga1-3
Maritimo – Vitória SCFebruary 24, 2018 · Primeira Liga3-2
Vitória SC – MaritimoSeptember 24, 2017 · Primeira Liga2-1
Vitória SC – MaritimoJanuary 28, 2017 · Primeira Liga0-0
Maritimo – Vitória SCAugust 20, 2016 · Primeira Liga0-2
Maritimo – Vitória SCApril 17, 2016 · Primeira Liga3-0
Simo Bouzaidi
Off: Tomas Tavares
48'⚽Paulo HenriqueOwn goal
60'⚽Oumar Camara
62'Rodri Andrade
63'Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva
66'⇄Victor AnderssonOff: Gustavo Silva
66'⇄Lohann DoucetOff: Gonçalo Nogueira
69'⇄Ibrahim Akitunde AlaniOff: Raphael Guzzo
69'⇄Nilton VarelaOff: Maxime Dominguez
76'⚽Arnel JakupovićAssist: Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva
78'⇄Alan de Souza GuimarãesOff: Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva
78'⇄Yeimar MosqueraOff: Ahmed Sidibé
78'⇄Alioune NdoyeOff: Arnel Jakupović
80'⇄Mons Rogeani BassouaminaOff: Martín Tejón
86'⇄Maurice BoakyeOff: Adrián Butzke
90'⚽Yeimar MosqueraAssist: Alan de Souza Guimarães
Statistics
58%Possession42%
1.82Expected goals0.54
16Total shots10
8Shots on target2
6Corners5
15Fouls11
1Offsides6
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves3
Vitória SC scored 1.3 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Maritimo scored 1.1 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.
Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.