Casa Pia – Santa Clara: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Primeira Liga · Portugal · Matchday 8

Casa PiaPrimeira Liga · #17

0-1Saturday, October 10

Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga · #4

Match events

Casa PiaSanta Clara

18'José Tavares
50'VARDavid SousaCard upgrade confirmed
52'David Sousa
54'⇄Felipe SilvaOff: Henrique Araújo
57'⇄Joao VasconcelosOff: José Tavares
67'Henrique Araújo

Chances to win

Casa Pia%25

Draw%29

Santa Clara%46

At a glance

Over 1.5

%42Over 2.5

%48Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%52

Both score%48

Santa Clara win%46

Over 2.5%42

Draw%29

Casa Pia win%25

Why?

Casa Pia: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Casa PiaW2-1L1-4D0-0L0-1L0-2

Santa ClaraD0-0W2-1W4-0D1-1W1-0

Last 6 meetings

1Casa Pia won

2Draw

3Santa Clara won

1.5
Goals per game2/6
Over 2.52/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Casa Pia · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Santa Clara · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Casa Pia · last 10 at home4.5 corners, 3.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Santa Clara · last 10 away4.5 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

8José Luís Rocha Tavares

9Gonçalo Paciência

10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos

Bench

Neneca, Henrique Silva, JoÃ£o Vasconcelos, Vitinho, Daniel Borges, Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira, Welinton Torrão, Léo Jacó, Sorriso

Casa Pia – Santa ClaraJanuary 29, 2023 · Primeira Liga2-1

Santa Clara – Casa PiaAugust 7, 2022 · Primeira Liga0-0

70'⇄Luis Fernando Santos OliveiraOff: Tiago Ribeiro

70'⇄Vitor Hugo Amorim de AssisOff: Vinicius lopes

72'⇄ Márcio Gabriel Ferreira PereiraOff: Lawrence Ofori

73'⇄João GoulartOff: Pedro Rosas

77'⇄Henrique SilvaOff: Emanuel Moreira

77'⇄Léo JacóOff: Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos

79'⇄Aymen ZouinOff: Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri

80'⇄Evans MaurinOff: Benjamin Pauwels

83' Márcio Gabriel Ferreira Pereira

90+2'⚽Joao VasconcelosAssist: Lucas Soares

90+3'Joao Vasconcelos

90+7'Gonçalo Paciência

Statistics

38%Possession62%

0.48Expected goals0.67

5Total shots14

2Shots on target2

3Corners7

17Fouls13

2Offsides2

3Yellow cards5

1Red cards0

1Saves2

Santa Clara: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Casa Pia scored 0.6 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Santa Clara scored 1.2 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Casa Pia · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10

Santa Clara · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Casa Pia: 10 games · Santa Clara: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.4Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.72.3

9/10Over 0.5league %959/10

5/10Over 1.5league %745/10

2/10Over 2.5league %554/10

2/10Over 3.5league %353/10

2/10Over 4.5league %101/10

2/10Both scoreleague %495/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

7/10Failed to score2/10

Casa Pia: 10 games · Santa Clara: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.6Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.8Goals conceded (avg)0.8

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.72.3

9/10Over 0.5league %959/10

6/10Over 1.5league %746/10

3/10Over 2.5league %555/10

2/10Over 3.5league %353/10

2/10Over 4.5league %100/10

2/10Both scoreleague %495/10

3/10Clean sheets5/10

6/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%35 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Casa Pia win 225, 427 end level and Santa Clara win 348. The actual result comes up 348 times in 1000.

90+2'

Joao Vasconcelos decided it in minute 90.

0.48 – 0.67 The score the chances deserved (xG): Casa Pia 0.48 – 0.67 Santa Clara.

5 – 14 Shots: Casa Pia 5 – 14 Santa Clara.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Casa Pia · Primeira Liga

Santa Clara · Primeira Liga

Casa Pia · All games

Santa Clara · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Casa Pia's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match