Lochau – Schwaz: probabilities, statistics and live score

LochauWest · #13

0-4Saturday, October 31

SchwazWest · #2

Chances to win

Lochau%16

Draw%17

Schwaz%67

At a glance

Over 1.5

%77Over 2.5

%69Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

LochauL0-2L1-2W2-1D1-1L0-3

SchwazW3-1W5-2W4-3W2-1W

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Lochau · last 6 at home0/6games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/6games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/6games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Schwaz · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%77Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 8.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%69

Schwaz win%67

Not both score%31

Under 2.5%23

Draw%17

Lochau win%16

Why?

Lochau · last 6 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/6

Schwaz · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Lochau: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 6 home matches.
Schwaz: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.
Lochau scored 1.7 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 6 home matches.
Schwaz scored 2.3 and conceded 2.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Lochau: 7 games · Schwaz: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)2.7

2.1Goals conceded (avg)2.1

3.6Total goals per gameleague 3.64.8

7/7Over 0.5league %9610/10

7/7Over 1.5league %9110/10

6/7Over 2.5league %729/10

3/7Over 3.5league %488/10

2/7Over 4.5league %275/10

6/7Both scoreleague %658/10

0/7Clean sheets1/10

1/7Failed to score1/10

Lochau: 10 games · Schwaz: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)3.1

2.3Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.4Total goals per gameleague 3.64.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9610/10

10/10Over 1.5league %9110/10

8/10Over 2.5league %7210/10

4/10Over 3.5league %487/10

2/10Over 4.5league %273/10

7/10Both scoreleague %658/10

0/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Schwaz: win number 8 in a row.

%67 Our model's pre-match chance of an Schwaz win.

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Missing players

Previous meetings

Lochau · Regionalliga - West

Schwaz · Regionalliga - West

Lochau · All games

Schwaz · All games

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match