Athletic Club II – Cacereño: probabilities, statistics and live score

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Athletic Club IISegunda B: Group 1 · #11

3-1Saturday, October 31

CacereñoSegunda B: Group 1 · #4

Match events

Athletic Club IICacereño

15'O. Chit
27'⚽I. OyonoAssist: I. El Arbaoui
36'⇄A. CondeOff: C. Imga
38'A. Conde
45+1'I. Tellechea
46'⇄RunyOff: I. Tellechea
47'

Chances to win

Athletic Club II%48

Draw%27

Cacereño%24

At a glance

Over 1.5

%47Over 2.5

%51Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%53Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%51

Not both score%49

Athletic Club II win%48

Over 2.5%47

Draw%27

Cacereño win%24

Why?

Athletic Club II: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Athletic Club IIL1-2L1-2D0-0L1-3W3-0

CacereñoW1-0L0-1D1-1L0-2D0-0

Last 2 meetings

0Athletic Club II won

0Draw

2Cacereño won

2.5
Goals per game1/2
Over 2.51/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Athletic Club II · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Cacereño · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

60'⇄I. Martinez MunozOff: J. Alonso

60'⇄L. SanchezOff: N. Conesa

60'⇄P. BareaOff: S. Lopez

63'⇄A. HierroOff: A. Pecina

80'⇄P. HuestamendiaOff: A. Hierro

80'⇄S. SanchezOff: I. Oyono

80'⇄U. CabreraOff: A. Gete

Cacereño: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Athletic Club II scored 1.2 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Cacereño scored 1.0 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Cacereño · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Athletic Club II: 10 games · Cacereño: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.6Total goals per gameleague 2.62.2

9/10Over 0.5league %939/10

8/10Over 1.5league %708/10

6/10Over 2.5league %464/10

3/10Over 3.5league %271/10

0/10Over 4.5league %130/10

8/10Both scoreleague %515/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

Athletic Club II: 10 games · Cacereño: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.3Goals conceded (avg)0.7

2.7Total goals per gameleague 2.61.7

9/10Over 0.5league %939/10

8/10Over 1.5league %706/10

7/10Over 2.5league %462/10

3/10Over 3.5league %270/10

0/10Over 4.5league %130/10

7/10Both scoreleague %513/10

2/10Clean sheets5/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%48 Our model's pre-match chance of a Athletic Club II win.

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Referee

Athletic Club II · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Cacereño · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Athletic Club II · All games

Cacereño · All games

Missing players

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match