Real Sociedad II – Girona: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Segunda División · Spain · Matchday 12

Real Sociedad IISegunda · #20

1-0Saturday, October 31

GironaSegunda · #4

Match events

Real Sociedad IIGirona

15'VARAlex LebarbierPenalty confirmed
15'David López Silva
17'✕Dani DiazMissed penalty
21'⇄Abdul MuminOff: Unai Hernández
32'Inaki Ruperez
36'Alex Lebarbier

Chances to win

Real Sociedad II%27

Draw%25

Girona%48

At a glance

Over 1.5

%57Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%59

Girona win%48

Under 2.5%43

Not both score%41

Real Sociedad II win%27

Draw%25

Why?

Real Sociedad II: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Real Sociedad IIL0-1L2-4L1-4L2-3W4-0

GironaW2-0W5-1W2-0D1-1D0-0

Last 2 meetings

0Real Sociedad II won

0Draw

2Girona won

2.5
Goals per game1/2
Over 2.51/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Real Sociedad II · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Girona · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Real Sociedad II · last 9 at home4.2 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/9Over 4.5 corners5/9Over 5.5 corners2/9

Girona · last 9 away3.3 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/9Over 4.5 corners2/9Over 5.5 corners1/9Over 0.5 cards8/9Over 1.5 cards5/9

Bench

Sergi Puig, V. Krapyvtsov, A. Mumin, Alejandro Francés, M. Furtado, D. van de Beek, Iván Morante, L. Kourouma, C. Stuani, Abel Ruiz, Portu, Oleksandr Pishchur

Oleksandr PyshchurOff: Vladyslav Vanat

62'⇄Lander AstiazaránOff: Alex Lebarbier

62'⇄Gorka Carrera ZarranzOff: Arkaitz Mariezkurrena

62'⇄Jon EceizabarrenaOff: Javier Soroeta

62'⇄Ibai AguirreOff: Alex Marchal García

74'⇄Lass KouroumaOff: Izan González

74'⇄Alejandro FrancésOff: Mateu Morey

74'⇄PortuOff: Yaser Asprilla

85'⇄Unax LarrañagaOff: Kazunari Kita

86'⚽Lander AstiazaránAssist: Dani Diaz

90+4'VARGorka Carrera ZarranzRed card cancelled

90+5'Gorka Carrera Zarranz

Statistics

59%Possession41%

1.45Expected goals0.59

14Total shots8

5Shots on target3

3Corners1

27Fouls9

3Offsides3

6Yellow cards1

0Red cards1

3Saves4

Girona: 3+ goals in 3 of their last 10 away matches.

Real Sociedad II scored 0.9 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Girona scored 1.1 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Real Sociedad II: 10 games · Girona: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.0

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.72.1

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

6/10Over 1.5league %748/10

3/10Over 2.5league %503/10

3/10Over 3.5league %320/10

2/10Over 4.5league %170/10

5/10Both scoreleague %516/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

Real Sociedad II: 10 games · Girona: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.7

2.2Goals conceded (avg)0.6

3.7Total goals per gameleague 2.72.3

10/10Over 0.5league %939/10

7/10Over 1.5league %748/10

7/10Over 2.5league %503/10

7/10Over 3.5league %321/10

4/10Over 4.5league %171/10

6/10Both scoreleague %514/10

2/10Clean sheets5/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Girona: a 7-match unbeaten run ended here.

86'

Lander Astiazarán decided it in minute 86.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of a Real Sociedad II win.

%58 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Real Sociedad II win 582, 267 end level and Girona win 151. The actual result comes up 582 times in 1000.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Real Sociedad II · Segunda División

Girona · Segunda División

Real Sociedad II · All games

Girona · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match