Burgos – Granada CF: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Segunda División · Spain · Matchday 9

BurgosSegunda · #6

0-1Monday, October 12

Granada CFSegunda · #5

Match events

BurgosGranada CF

17'Alejandro Lizancos Saldaña
25'⚽Pedro Alemañ SernaAssist: Sergio Rodelas Pintor
30'Rubén Alcaraz
44'Pablo Galdames
54'David Gonzalez
55'⇄Owen EmekaOff: Mario Jiménez Gambín
55'

Chances to win

Burgos%38

Draw%30

Granada CF%32

At a glance

Over 1.5

%43Over 2.5

%50Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%50

Not both score%50

Over 2.5%43

Burgos win%38

Granada CF win%32

Draw%30

Why?

Burgos: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

BurgosL1-2W1-0W2-1W3-1D0-0

Granada CFW3-2L2-3L2-3D1-1L0-3

Last 6 meetings

1Burgos won

3Draw

2Granada CF won

2.0
Goals per game2/6
Over 2.53/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Burgos · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Granada CF · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Burgos · last 10 at home4.4 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Granada CF · last 10 away4.6 corners, 3.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards9/10

30Juan José Flores Castro

Bench

Raúl Lizoain, Pau Casadesús, Diego Hormigo, B. Diallo, B. Gimber, A. Garcia, B. Dembele, D. Rodriguez, Jorge Pascual, K. Bamba, O. M. Chukwuemeka

Burgos – Granada CFMarch 4, 2023 · Segunda División1-3

Granada CF – BurgosDecember 11, 2022 · Segunda División1-0

Jorge PascualOff: Sergio Rodelas Pintor

59'VARAlberto Flores LópezGoal cancelled

64'⇄Alberto DadieOff: Alejandro Lizancos Saldaña

64'⇄José GrageraOff: Pablo Galdames

65'⇄Jon KarrikaburuOff: Curro

68'⇄Baïla DialloOff: Diego Varela Pampín

68'⇄Pau CasadesúsOff: Sergio López

77'⇄Santiago LencinaOff: Álex Forés

83'⇄Victor MollejoOff: Unai Vencedor

83'⇄Chinaza OnouhaOff: José Manuel Arnáiz

90+5'VARBaïla DialloOriginal decision changed

Statistics

64%Possession36%

1.12Expected goals1.51

20Total shots5

6Shots on target2

4Corners0

14Fouls13

3Offsides2

4Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

2Saves6

Granada CF: 2 or fewer goals in 3 of their last 10 away matches.

Burgos scored 1.7 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Granada CF scored 1.3 and conceded 2.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Burgos · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Burgos: 10 games · Granada CF: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.4

0.7Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.0Total goals per gameleague 2.72.7

9/10Over 0.5league %939/10

4/10Over 1.5league %746/10

3/10Over 2.5league %506/10

3/10Over 3.5league %324/10

1/10Over 4.5league %172/10

4/10Both scoreleague %514/10

5/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

Burgos: 10 games · Granada CF: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.73.3

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

6/10Over 1.5league %749/10

6/10Over 2.5league %507/10

4/10Over 3.5league %324/10

2/10Over 4.5league %173/10

6/10Both scoreleague %516/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%46 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Burgos win 282, 256 end level and Granada CF win 462. The actual result comes up 462 times in 1000.

20 – 5 Shots: Burgos 20 – 5 Granada CF.

%32 Our model's pre-match chance of an Granada CF win.

1.12 – 1.51 The score the chances deserved (xG): Burgos 1.12 – 1.51 Granada CF.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Burgos · Segunda División

Granada CF · Segunda División

Burgos · All games

Granada CF · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Burgos's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match