Blackpool – Mansfield Town: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·League One · England · Matchday 13

BlackpoolLeague One · #20

1-4Saturday, October 24

Mansfield TownLeague One · #10

Match events

BlackpoolMansfield Town

14'Albie Morgan
17'⚽Michael SmithAssist: Jonathan Russell
40'✕Michael SmithMissed penalty
42'⚽Dion CharlesAssist: Leighton Clarkson
45'⇄Rhys OatesOff: Liam Thompson
45'⇄Jordan BoweryOff: Stephen McLaughlin

Chances to win

Blackpool%34

Draw%26

Mansfield Town%39

At a glance

Over 1.5

%56Over 2.5

%60Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%56

Under 2.5%44

Not both score%40

Mansfield Town win%39

Blackpool win%34

Draw%26

Why?

Blackpool: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

BlackpoolW2-0L0-2L0-1D2-2L2-3

Mansfield TownW3-0D1-1W2-1L0-2D2-2

Last 7 meetings

1Blackpool won

2Draw

4Mansfield Town won

2.1
Goals per game1/7
Over 2.52/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Blackpool · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Mansfield Town · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Blackpool · last 10 at home5.7 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Mansfield Town · last 10 away4.5 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

K. Knoyle, L. Bolton, J. Bowery, F. Blake-Tracy, R. Hendry, R. Oates, T. Roberts

Blackpool – Mansfield TownDecember 6, 2017 · EFL Trophy1-1

Blackpool – Mansfield TownJanuary 2, 2017 · League Two0-1

Mansfield Town – BlackpoolNovember 22, 2016 · League Two1-0

55'⚽Rhys OatesAssist: George Abbott

60'⇄Regan·HendryOff: George Abbott

64'⚽Ilmari NiskanenOwn goal

66'⇄Jerry YatesOff: Dale Taylor

66'⇄Tom BloxhamOff: Dion Charles

74'⇄Tyler RobertsOff: Michael Smith

75'⇄Finley MunroeOff: Ilmari Niskanen

78'⚽Tyler RobertsAssist: Rhys Oates

79'⇄Jordan BrownOff: Albie Morgan

82'⇄Luke BoltonOff: Elliott Hewitt

Statistics

53%Possession47%

1.15Expected goals1.92

13Total shots17

5Shots on target6

6Corners7

7Fouls8

4Offsides1

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

4Saves4

Mansfield Town: both sides scored in 3 of their last 10 away matches.

Blackpool scored 1.9 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Mansfield Town scored 1.1 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Blackpool · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

Blackpool: 10 games · Mansfield Town: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.8Total goals per gameleague 2.82.9

10/10Over 0.5league %929/10

9/10Over 1.5league %797/10

7/10Over 2.5league %546/10

7/10Over 3.5league %314/10

4/10Over 4.5league %153/10

7/10Both scoreleague %584/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

0/10Failed to score4/10

Blackpool: 10 games · Mansfield Town: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.7

2.3Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.8Total goals per gameleague 2.83.2

10/10Over 0.5league %929/10

9/10Over 1.5league %798/10

7/10Over 2.5league %546/10

7/10Over 3.5league %314/10

4/10Over 4.5league %153/10

7/10Both scoreleague %585/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.15 – 1.76 The score the chances deserved (xG): Blackpool 1.15 – 1.76 Mansfield Town.

%52 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Blackpool win 249, 235 end level and Mansfield Town win 517. The actual result comes up 517 times in 1000.

8.2

Man of the match: R. Oates (Mansfield Town), rated 8.2.

%39 Our model's pre-match chance of an Mansfield Town win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Blackpool · League One

Mansfield Town · League One

Blackpool · All games

Mansfield Town · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Blackpool's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match