FC Orenburg – Rodina Moskva: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Cup · Russia · Matchday 5

FC OrenburgPremier League · #6

2-1Wednesday, October 28

Rodina MoskvaPremier League · #15

Match events

FC OrenburgRodina Moskva

14'Mikhail Pykhcheev
46'⇄Leon MusaevOff: Andrey Egorychev
46'⇄Jordhy ThompsonOff: Ruslan Kul
46'⇄Evgeniy BolotovOff: Dmitriy Rybchinskiy
59'⚽Ivan TimoshenkoAssist: Artem Maksimenko
61'⇄Damian PueblaOff: Mikhail Pykhcheev

Chances to win

FC Orenburg%53

Draw%24

Rodina Moskva%23

At a glance

Over 1.5

%58Over 2.5

%58Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%58

FC Orenburg win%53

Under 2.5%42

Not both score%42

Draw%24

Rodina Moskva win%23

Why?

FC Orenburg: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

FC OrenburgW1-0D2-2W4-1W4-0D0-0

Rodina MoskvaW1-0D2-2L2-4L0-3D1-1

Last 2 meetings

1FC Orenburg won

1Draw

0Rodina Moskva won

4.5
Goals per game2/2
Over 2.52/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

FC Orenburg · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Rodina Moskva · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

FC Orenburg · last 7 at home5.0 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/7Over 4.5 corners4/7Over 5.5 corners3/7Over 0.5 cards

Rodina Moskva · last 8 away3.6 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/8Over 4.5 corners1/8Over 5.5 corners1/8Over 0.5 cards8/8Over 1.5 cards7/8

Bench

I. Svinov, D. Shadrintsev, M. Nadé, Y. Reyna, S. Bakaev, L. Musaev, A. Gordyushenko, B. Mansilla, M. Abdusalamov, M. Križan, K. Cissoko

Gedeon GuzinaOff: Jersson González

62'⇄Soltmurad BakaevOff: Artur Gharibyan

68'⇄Maxime SivisOff: Joao Silva

69'⇄Yordy ReynaOff: Iker Pozo

69'⇄Mickael NadeOff: Dmitriy Tananeev

77'⚽Renat GolybinAssist: Damian Puebla

Statistics

54%Possession46%

7Total shots8

3Shots on target4

6Corners3

5Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Rodina Moskva: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

FC Orenburg scored 1.3 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Rodina Moskva scored 1.3 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

FC Orenburg · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Rodina Moskva · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

FC Orenburg: 10 games · Rodina Moskva: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.0Goals conceded (avg)2.0

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.63.1

9/10Over 0.5league %9110/10

8/10Over 1.5league %789/10

6/10Over 2.5league %468/10

2/10Over 3.5league %233/10

0/10Over 4.5league %161/10

6/10Both scoreleague %496/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

FC Orenburg: 10 games · Rodina Moskva: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.1

0.9Goals conceded (avg)2.0

2.6Total goals per gameleague 2.63.1

9/10Over 0.5league %9110/10

7/10Over 1.5league %789/10

5/10Over 2.5league %467/10

4/10Over 3.5league %233/10

1/10Over 4.5league %161/10

6/10Both scoreleague %497/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%53 Our model's pre-match chance of a FC Orenburg win.

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

FC Orenburg · All games

Rodina Moskva · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match