CSKA Moscow – Lokomotiv: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Cup · Russia · Matchday 5

CSKA MoscowPremier League · #3

3-1Thursday, October 29

LokomotivPremier League · #13

Match events

CSKA MoscowLokomotiv

4'Aleksandr Kovalenko
6'⚽Danila KozlovAssist: Ivan Oblyakov
9'Lucas Fasson
17'⚽João Victor da Silva MarcelinoAssist: Ivan Oblyakov
32'Matheus Alves
38'⚽Aleksandr Kovalenko
46'

Chances to win

CSKA Moscow%52

Draw%24

Lokomotiv%24

At a glance

Over 1.5

%57Over 2.5

%58Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%58

CSKA Moscow win%52

Under 2.5%43

Not both score%42

Draw%24

Lokomotiv win%24

Why?

CSKA Moscow: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CSKA MoscowW2-0L1-3W4-0W3-0W3-1

LokomotivL0-2D3-3D1-1W5-0D1-1

Last 15 meetings

7CSKA Moscow won

5Draw

3Lokomotiv won

3.0
Goals per game9/15
Over 2.510/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

CSKA Moscow · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Lokomotiv · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

CSKA Moscow · last 9 at home5.0 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners6/9Over 5.5 corners4/9Over 0.5 cards

Lokomotiv · last 8 away4.1 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/8Over 4.5 corners3/8Over 5.5 corners1/8Over 0.5 cards7/8Over 1.5 cards5/8

Bench

A. Mitryushkin, D. Veselov, G. Nyamsi, M. Nenakhov, A. Rudenko, D. Chevardin, I. Eremeev, V. Golubev, R. Myalkovskiy

CSKA Moscow – LokomotivFebruary 21, 2026 · Friendlies Clubs3-2

Lokomotiv – CSKA MoscowOctober 18, 2025 · Premier League3-0

Lokomotiv – CSKA MoscowOctober 1, 2025 · Cup0-0

CSKA Moscow – LokomotivJuly 30, 2025 · Cup2-1

Lokomotiv – CSKA MoscowMay 19, 2025 · Premier League2-2

CSKA Moscow – LokomotivAugust 18, 2024 · Premier League0-1

Lokomotiv Moscow – CSKA MoscowApril 13, 2024 · Premier League3-3

CSKA Moscow – Lokomotiv MoscowAugust 5, 2023 · Premier League4-1

CSKA Moscow – Lokomotiv MoscowApril 23, 2023 · Premier League1-1

Lokomotiv Moscow – CSKA MoscowOctober 29, 2022 · Premier League0-1

Lokomotiv Moscow – CSKA MoscowMarch 12, 2022 · Premier League1-2

Kirill DanilovOff: Matvey Lukin

46'⇄Mohamed AzziOff: Danil Krugovoy

46'⇄Matvey KislyakOff: Ivan Oblyakov

63'⇄Aleksandr RudenkoOff: Andrey Mostovoy

64'⇄Kirill GlebovOff: Danila Kozlov

66'⚽Georgiy DzhikiyaOwn goal

70'⇄Tamerlan MusaevOff: Luciano Gondou

73'⇄Ruslan MyalkovskiyOff: Nikolay Komlichenko

73'⇄Ilya EremeevOff: Nikolay Titkov

73'⇄Maksim NenakhovOff: Lucas Fasson

83'⇄Daniil ChevardinOff: Aleksandr Kovalenko

90+3'Tamerlan Musaev

Statistics

59%Possession41%

10Total shots3

6Shots on target2

5Corners5

2Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Lokomotiv: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

CSKA Moscow scored 1.7 and conceded 0.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Lokomotiv scored 1.2 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Lokomotiv · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

CSKA Moscow: 10 games · Lokomotiv: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.2

0.6Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.62.6

9/10Over 0.5league %919/10

7/10Over 1.5league %787/10

4/10Over 2.5league %465/10

3/10Over 3.5league %233/10

1/10Over 4.5league %162/10

4/10Both scoreleague %495/10

5/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

CSKA Moscow: 10 games · Lokomotiv: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.2Total goals per gameleague 2.62.6

10/10Over 0.5league %919/10

10/10Over 1.5league %787/10

7/10Over 2.5league %464/10

5/10Over 3.5league %233/10

0/10Over 4.5league %162/10

6/10Both scoreleague %495/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

10 – 3 Shots: CSKA Moscow 10 – 3 Lokomotiv.

%52 Our model's pre-match chance of a CSKA Moscow win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

CSKA Moscow · All games

Lokomotiv · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at CSKA Moscow's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match