WSG Wattens – Ried: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Bundesliga · Austria · Matchday 8

WSG WattensBundesliga · #7

1-2Saturday, October 10

RiedBundesliga · #6

Match events

WSG WattensRied

8'⚽Nikolai Baden Frederiksen
15'⚽Stefan SchwabPenalty
43'⚽Philipp Pomer
45'⇄Moritz WelsOff: Husein Balić
45+1'Marco Boras
50'VAREvan Eghosa AisowierenGoal cancelled
69'

Chances to win

WSG Wattens%38

Draw%26

Ried%36

At a glance

Over 1.5

%57Over 2.5

%60Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

WSG WattensL0-3D2-2W4-0W1-0W4-0

RiedW4-1D1-1W5-1L2-3W

Last 8 meetings

3WSG Wattens won

3Draw

2Ried won

2.1
Goals per game2/8
Over 2.55/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

WSG Wattens · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Ried · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

WSG Wattens · last 10 at home5.0 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Ried · last 8 away4.6 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/8Over 4.5 corners3/8Over 5.5 corners2/8Over 0.5 cards7/8Over 1.5 cards6/8

47Evan Eghosa Aisowieren

Bench

F. Wimmer, L. Malicsek, D. Radonjic, O. Sorg, L. Capan, J. Nasrawe, T. Lund Jensen, I. Kiese Thelin

WSG Wattens – RiedMay 12, 2023 · Bundesliga1-1

Ried – WSG WattensApril 14, 2023 · Bundesliga1-1

WSG Wattens – RiedNovember 12, 2022 · Bundesliga2-0

Ried – WSG WattensAugust 21, 2022 · Bundesliga1-2

Murat SatinOff: Thomas Goiginger

70'⇄Oliver SorgOff: J. Rhodes

70'⇄Lukas MalicsekOff: Martin Rasner

77'⇄Isaac ThelinOff: Evan Eghosa Aisowieren

78'⇄Thomas SabitzerOff: Nikolai Baden Frederiksen

78'⇄Lukas HinterseerOff: M. Olakigbe

82'Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer

83'⇄Dejan RadonjicOff: Philipp Pomer

90+2'⇄David KubattaOff: Marc Striednig

Statistics

64%Possession36%

1.28Expected goals1.5

22Total shots13

8Shots on target4

7Corners5

10Fouls10

1Offsides3

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

2Saves7

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%57

Under 2.5%43

Not both score%40

WSG Wattens win%38

Ried win%36

Draw%26

Why?

WSG Wattens · last 10 at home: both scored 7 times7/10

Ried · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

WSG Wattens: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
Ried: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
WSG Wattens scored 1.4 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Ried scored 1.5 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

WSG Wattens: 10 games · Ried: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)2.2

1.8Goals conceded (avg)2.0

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.24.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8710/10

6/10Over 2.5league %658/10

4/10Over 3.5league %356/10

1/10Over 4.5league %185/10

8/10Both scoreleague %569/10

1/10Clean sheets0/10

1/10Failed to score1/10

WSG Wattens: 10 games · Ried: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)2.4

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.23.9

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %879/10

6/10Over 2.5league %657/10

3/10Over 3.5league %356/10

0/10Over 4.5league %185/10

5/10Both scoreleague %569/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%42 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), WSG Wattens win 324, 252 end level and Ried win 424. The actual result comes up 424 times in 1000.

1.28 – 1.50 The score the chances deserved (xG): WSG Wattens 1.28 – 1.50 Ried.

7.6

Man of the match: P. Pomer (Ried), rated 7.6.

%36 Our model's pre-match chance of an Ried win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at WSG Wattens's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

WSG Wattens · Bundesliga

Ried · Bundesliga

WSG Wattens · All games

Ried · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match